
Phoenix Rising
Get the latest Phoenix Rising stats and match predictions as the Arizona-based club navigates its 2026 USL Championship campaign. Founded in 2014 and playing at Phoenix Rising Stadium at 38th St/Washington, the team enters its next fixture having lost four of its last five outings.
Phoenix Rising's recent form is a major concern. The team is winless in five matches, with its last results showing four defeats and one draw: L, L, D, L, L. The most recent USL Championship match ended in a 3-1 away loss to Colorado Springs Switchbacks on July 5. Prior to that, a 4-3 home loss to Oakland Roots and a 0-2 home defeat to Louisville highlighted defensive vulnerabilities. The only point salvaged in this stretch came from a 1-1 draw at El Paso Locomotive. Including a heavy 4-0 USL Cup loss at New Mexico United, Phoenix Rising has conceded 14 goals in its last 5 matches, scoring only 5 in return.
In the USL Cup standings, Phoenix Rising is currently absent from the top 12 of the early-season table. Leaders such as Tampa Bay Rowdies and San Antonio FC have set the pace with perfect 9-point starts. Home and away standings are dominated by clubs who have won all their fixtures so far. No dedicated league table data for Phoenix Rising's USL Championship position is available in this summary, confirming the side is not among the frontrunners as the campaign progresses. Key players to watch include top-listed goalkeeper T. Shaw and attacker G. Studenhofft, though neither has registered goals in tracked statistics yet.
Phoenix Rising's next challenge is a USL Cup fixture against AV Alta FC, scheduled for July 12, 2026, at 03:00 UTC. This match represents an immediate opportunity to halt a five-game winless slide.
Based on the latest odds and a dire run of five matches without a win, we calculate Phoenix Rising's win probability for the upcoming match against AV Alta FC at approximately 34%. The fair probability assessment derived from the 1X2 market (home 2.47, draw 2.67, away 2.69) translates to a 36% chance for AV Alta FC, a 34% chance for a draw, and only a 30% base chance for a Phoenix Rising victory. However, factoring in Phoenix Rising's current formโfour losses in five, with a negative-9 goal differenceโthe real-world chances of a win drop slightly below the pure odds-based calculation. A draw (probability ~38%) appears the most likely positive outcome for the visitors, while a loss remains a significant 32% risk. Without a dramatic defensive improvement, Phoenix Rising enters as a legitimate underdog despite nearly balanced odds.