Italy - Northern Ireland prediction 26 March 2026
Italy
Northern Ireland
GreeceItalyLuxembourgItalyBosnia-HerzegovinaItalyItalyNorthern IrelandItalyBrazilItalyAlgeriaPolandItalyItalyFranceGermanyItalyItalyGermanyItalyFranceBelgiumItalyItalyIsraelEcuadorItalyVenezuelaItalyFranceNorthern IrelandNorthern IrelandGuineaWalesNorthern IrelandItalyNorthern IrelandNorthern IrelandIcelandDenmarkNorthern IrelandSwedenNorthern IrelandNorthern IrelandSwitzerlandLuxembourgNorthern IrelandNorthern IrelandBelarusNorthern IrelandBulgariaBelarusNorthern IrelandScotlandNorthern IrelandRomaniaNorthern IrelandGreeceNorthern IrelandItalyNorthern IrelandNorthern IrelandItalyItalyNorthern Ireland| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  England | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 22:0 | +22 | 24 |
| 2 |  Norway | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 37:5 | +32 | 24 |
| 3 |  Croatia | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 26:4 | +22 | 22 |
| 4 |  Netherlands | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 27:4 | +23 | 20 |
| 5 |  Austria | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22:4 | +18 | 19 |
| 6 |  Belgium | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 29:7 | +22 | 18 |
| 7 | Italy | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 21:12 | +9 | 18 |
| 8 |  Bosnia-Herzegovina | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:7 | +10 | 17 |
| 9 |  Poland | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:7 | +7 | 17 |
| 10 |  France | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16:4 | +12 | 16 |
| 11 |  Spain | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21:2 | +19 | 16 |
| 12 |  Czech Republic | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:8 | +10 | 16 |
| 13 |  Wales | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 21:11 | +10 | 16 |
| 14 |  Germany | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16:3 | +13 | 15 |
| 15 |  Switzerland | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:2 | +12 | 14 |
| 16 |  Albania | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | +2 | 14 |
| 17 |  Portugal | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 20:7 | +13 | 13 |
| 18 |  Scotland | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:7 | +6 | 13 |
| 19 |  Turkey | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17:12 | +5 | 13 |
| 20 |  North Macedonia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13:10 | +3 | 13 |
| 21 |  Romania | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 19:10 | +9 | 13 |
| 22 |  Serbia | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 23 |  Slovakia | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 12 |
| 24 |  Faroe Islands | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11:9 | +2 | 12 |
| 25 |  Israel | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 19:20 | -1 | 12 |
| 26 |  Kosovo | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | +1 | 11 |
| 27 |  Denmark | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16:7 | +9 | 11 |
| 28 |  Ireland | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | +2 | 10 |
| 29 |  Ukraine | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 30 |  Finland | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:14 | -6 | 10 |
| 31 | Northern Ireland | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | +1 | 9 |
| 32 |  Montenegro | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:17 | -9 | 9 |
| 33 |  Hungary | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | +1 | 8 |
| 34 |  Kazakhstan | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 8 |
| 35 |  Cyprus | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 8 |
| 36 |  Iceland | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13:11 | +2 | 7 |
| 37 |  Greece | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
| 38 |  Latvia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:15 | -10 | 5 |
| 39 |  Malta | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:19 | -15 | 5 |
| 40 |  Slovenia | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 4 |
| 41 |  Estonia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:21 | -13 | 4 |
| 42 |  Georgia | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 3 |
| 43 |  Armenia | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:19 | -16 | 3 |
| 44 |  Bulgaria | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:19 | -16 | 3 |
| 45 |  Lithuania | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6:15 | -9 | 3 |
| 46 |  Sweden | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 2 |
| 47 |  Belarus | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:17 | -13 | 2 |
| 48 |  Azerbaijan | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:16 | -13 | 1 |
| 49 |  Moldova | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:32 | -27 | 1 |
| 50 |  Andorra | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3:16 | -13 | 1 |
| 51 |  Luxembourg | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1:13 | -12 | 0 |
| 52 |  Gibraltar | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3:28 | -25 | 0 |
| 53 |  Liechtenstein | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0:31 | -31 | 0 |
| 54 |  San Marino | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2:39 | -37 | 0 |
Italy vs Northern Ireland Prediction (March 26, 2026)
Italy vs Northern Ireland prediction for the World Cup Qualification Play Off on March 26, 2026. Italy are the clear favorites with a 70% win probability based on our analysis. Read on for expert betting tips, team form, head-to-head record, and match odds.
Team Form
Italy's recent form across all competitions (W-W-D-W-L) shows three wins, one draw, and one defeat in their last five outings. Notable results include friendly wins over Greece and Luxembourg, a draw at Bosnia-Herzegovina, and a loss to Brazil in the Kings League.
Northern Ireland's last five results read L-W-D-L-W, reflecting inconsistency. They suffered a loss to France, beat Guinea, drew with Wales, and also recorded a win over Iceland. The team has struggled for consistency against higher-ranked opponents.
Head-to-Head Record
In the two previous meetings between these sides before this fixture, Italy won 2‑0 at home in March 2021 and played out a 0‑0 draw away in November 2021. Northern Ireland have never beaten Italy in competitive head-to-head matches, with the Azzurri holding a clear historical advantage.
League Table Positions
Italy sit 7th in the World Cup Qualification Play Off standings with 18 points from 8 matches (6 wins, 2 losses), having scored 21 goals and conceded 12. Northern Ireland are not among the top 12 teams listed, indicating a significant gap in quality and depth between the two sides.
Win Probability: Italy or Northern Ireland?
Based on current team form, the unbeaten head-to-head record, home advantage, and the wide disparity in league standings, Italy have a 70% chance of winning this match. The draw is rated at 20%, while Northern Ireland's win probability is just 10%. Italy's superior overall quality makes them the overwhelming favourites.
Odds & Match Prediction
No specific odds were available in our data for this encounter, but given all statistical indicators, Italy would be heavily favoured by bookmakers. Our match prediction is a home win for Italy. Based on the stats, the Italians are expected to control the game and secure all three points.
Italy vs Northern Ireland — FAQ
- Who will win Italy vs Northern Ireland?
- Italy have a 70% chance of winning, the draw stands at 20%, and Northern Ireland have a 10% chance. This probability is based on recent form, head-to-head results, league positions, and home advantage.
- What is the win probability for Italy?
- Italy's win probability is 70%. They are the strong favorite thanks to their superior record (3 wins in last 5), historical dominance in this fixture, and their position as the home side.
- When is the Italy vs Northern Ireland match?
- The match takes place on March 26, 2026, at 19:45 (UTC). It is a World Cup Qualification Play Off fixture.
- What are the odds for Italy vs Northern Ireland?
- No specific odds figures were available in our data for this match. However, all statistical evidence points to Italy being the expected winners.
- What is the head-to-head record between Italy and Northern Ireland?
- In their last two meetings (excluding this fixture), Italy won one and drew one. Italy won 2‑0 at home in March 2021, and the sides drew 0‑0 in Belfast in November 2021. Northern Ireland have never beaten Italy.