Tulsa Roughnecks - El Paso Locomotive prediction 19 July 2026
Tulsa Roughnecks
El Paso LocomotiveTulsa RoughnecksEl Paso Locomotive
Birmingham LegionTulsa RoughnecksTulsa RoughnecksSacramento RepublicTulsa RoughnecksColorado Springs SwitchbacksTulsa RoughnecksMonterey BayCharleston BatteryTulsa RoughnecksTulsa RoughnecksSan Antonio FCLas Vegas LightsTulsa RoughnecksTulsa RoughnecksHartford AthleticCorpus ChristiTulsa RoughnecksMonterey BayTulsa RoughnecksEl Paso LocomotiveTulsa RoughnecksTulsa RoughnecksOne KnoxvilleOakland RootsTulsa RoughnecksSaint Louis CityTulsa RoughnecksTulsa RoughnecksEl Paso LocomotiveEl Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico UnitedLas Vegas LightsEl Paso LocomotiveMonterey BayEl Paso LocomotiveEl Paso LocomotivePhoenix RisingDetroit CityEl Paso LocomotiveColorado Springs SwitchbacksEl Paso LocomotiveEl Paso LocomotiveLexington SCEl Paso LocomotiveAV Alta FCOakland RootsEl Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico UnitedEl Paso LocomotiveEl Paso LocomotiveTulsa RoughnecksOrange County Blue StarEl Paso LocomotiveEl Paso LocomotiveSan Antonio FCHouston DynamoEl Paso LocomotiveTulsa RoughnecksEl Paso LocomotiveEl Paso LocomotiveTulsa RoughnecksEl Paso LocomotiveTulsa RoughnecksTulsa RoughnecksEl Paso Locomotive| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tampa Bay Rowdies | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 25:13 | +12 | 32 |
| 2 |  Orange County Blue Star | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 25:18 | +7 | 28 |
| 3 |  Charleston Battery | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 31:22 | +9 | 27 |
| 4 |  Detroit City | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23:14 | +9 | 27 |
| 5 |  San Antonio FC | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 21:19 | +2 | 25 |
| 6 |  New Mexico United | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19:15 | +4 | 24 |
| 7 |  Louisville | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26:25 | +1 | 24 |
| 8 |  Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 19:18 | +1 | 23 |
| 9 | Tulsa Roughnecks | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18:16 | +2 | 22 |
| 10 |  Oakland Roots | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 24:22 | +2 | 21 |
| 11 |  Indy Eleven | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:16 | +2 | 21 |
| 12 |  Miami FC | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20:24 | -4 | 21 |
| 13 |  Sacramento Republic | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:14 | +2 | 20 |
| 14 |  Phoenix Rising | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 23:24 | -1 | 20 |
| 15 |  Colorado Springs Switchbacks | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24:22 | +2 | 19 |
| 16 |  Rhode Island FC | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24:18 | +6 | 19 |
| 17 |  Hartford Athletic | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 19 |
| 18 | El Paso Locomotive | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 25:25 | 0 | 19 |
| 19 |  Lexington SC | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22:20 | +2 | 18 |
| 20 |  Las Vegas Lights | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23:26 | -3 | 18 |
| 21 |  Monterey Bay | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16:25 | -9 | 15 |
| 22 |  Birmingham Legion | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 14 |
| 23 |  Brooklyn FC | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17:26 | -9 | 13 |
| 24 |  Loudoun United | 15 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 18:29 | -11 | 12 |
| 25 |  Sporting Jax | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 23:44 | -21 | 8 |
Tulsa Roughnecks vs El Paso Locomotive Prediction (Jul 19)
The Tulsa Roughnecks vs El Paso Locomotive prediction points towards a competitive USL Championship clash on Jul 19 at 00:30. Based on the odds and recent form, Tulsa Roughnecks enters as the favorite with a 47% win probability, while El Paso Locomotive holds a 26% chance of an away victory.
Team Form
Tulsa Roughnecks have struggled for consistency, with their last five results reading L, D, L, W, L. Their most recent outing was a 3-1 defeat away to Birmingham Legion in the USL Cup on Jul 12. At home in the league, they managed a 0-0 draw with Sacramento Republic on Jul 05 and a 2-0 win over Monterey Bay on Jun 18, but also suffered a 2-1 loss to Colorado Springs Switchbacks.
El Paso Locomotive's recent form shows L, W, L, D, D. They lost 2-0 at home to New Mexico United in the USL Cup on Jul 12. In league action, they secured a 2-1 away win at Las Vegas Lights on Jul 05 but fell 1-0 at Monterey Bay on Jun 21. Back-to-back 1-1 draws against Phoenix Rising and Detroit City highlight their resilience on the road.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record heavily favors Tulsa Roughnecks, who are unbeaten in three meetings with 1 win and 2 draws. El Paso Locomotive has yet to record a victory. The most recent encounter on Apr 30, 2026, saw Tulsa Roughnecks claim a dominant 4-1 away win. The two matches in 2025 both ended in 1-1 draws, showing that while Tulsa has the edge, tight contests are common.
League Table Positions
Neither team appears in the top 12 of the overall USL Championship standings provided. However, El Paso Locomotive features prominently in the away table, sitting 3rd with 14 points from 8 games (4 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses), scoring 15 and conceding 8. Tulsa Roughnecks are absent from the home standings top 8, indicating their home form has not been among the league's best.
Win Probability: Tulsa Roughnecks or El Paso Locomotive?
Tulsa Roughnecks has a 47% chance of winning, the draw is at 27%, and El Paso Locomotive has a 26% chance. These probabilities are derived from the average bookmaker odds (home 2.01, draw 2.73, away 3.46), normalized to remove the margin, and then adjusted for Tulsa's strong H2H record and home advantage, tempered by their poor recent form. El Paso's solid away record in the league table keeps them competitive, but the historical dominance of Tulsa in this fixture tips the balance.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see Tulsa Roughnecks as the clear favorite, with best odds of 2.10 for a home win. The draw is priced around 3.78, and an El Paso Locomotive away win can be found at 3.50. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a narrow home victory, but the draw holds significant value given the history of stalemates between these sides.
Tulsa Roughnecks vs El Paso Locomotive — FAQ
- Who will win Tulsa Roughnecks vs El Paso Locomotive?
- Tulsa Roughnecks is the most likely winner with a 47% probability. El Paso Locomotive has a 26% chance, while the draw stands at 27%.
- What is the win probability for Tulsa Roughnecks?
- Tulsa Roughnecks has a 47% chance to win. This is based on strong head-to-head form, where they are unbeaten in three matches, combined with home advantage.
- When is the Tulsa Roughnecks vs El Paso Locomotive match?
- The match is on Jul 19 at 00:30. It is a USL Championship fixture in the USA.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The odds for a Tulsa Roughnecks win are as high as 2.10. A draw is offered at up to 3.78, and an El Paso Locomotive away win is priced around 3.50.
- What is the head-to-head record between Tulsa Roughnecks and El Paso Locomotive?
- In three previous meetings, Tulsa Roughnecks have 1 win and 2 draws. El Paso Locomotive has not won any of the encounters, with the most recent match ending 4-1 to Tulsa.