Oakland Roots - Sacramento Republic prediction 26 July 2026
Oakland Roots
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots
Spokane VelocityNew Mexico UnitedOakland RootsPhoenix RisingOakland RootsOakland RootsBirmingham LegionOakland RootsMiami FCLas Vegas LightsOakland RootsOakland RootsColorado Springs SwitchbacksOrange County Blue StarOakland RootsOakland RootsSacramento RepublicOakland RootsEl Paso LocomotiveLoudoun UnitedOakland RootsMonterey BayOakland RootsOakland RootsLas Vegas LightsOakland RootsTulsa RoughnecksTampa Bay RowdiesOakland RootsCharleston BatterySacramento RepublicAC BoiseSacramento RepublicSacramento RepublicRhode Island FCTulsa RoughnecksSacramento RepublicSacramento RepublicNew Mexico UnitedColorado Springs SwitchbacksSacramento RepublicSacramento RepublicMonterey BayPhoenix RisingSacramento RepublicSan Antonio FCSacramento RepublicOakland RootsSacramento RepublicSacramento RepublicOrange County Blue StarSacramento RepublicSpokane VelocityBrooklyn FCSacramento RepublicSacramento RepublicMinnesota United FCLas Vegas LightsSacramento Republic| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.38 | 2.02 | 3.00 | |
| 2.35 | 2.05 | 3.00 | |
| 1.04 | 1.03 | 1.04 |
Oakland RootsSacramento RepublicSacramento RepublicOakland RootsOakland RootsSacramento Republic| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tampa Bay Rowdies | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 25:13 | +12 | 32 |
| 2 |  Orange County Blue Star | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 25:18 | +7 | 28 |
| 3 |  Charleston Battery | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 31:22 | +9 | 27 |
| 4 |  Detroit City | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23:14 | +9 | 27 |
| 5 |  San Antonio FC | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 21:19 | +2 | 25 |
| 6 |  New Mexico United | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19:15 | +4 | 24 |
| 7 |  Louisville | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26:25 | +1 | 24 |
| 8 |  Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 19:18 | +1 | 23 |
| 9 |  Tulsa Roughnecks | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18:16 | +2 | 22 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 24:22 | +2 | 21 |
| 11 |  Indy Eleven | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:16 | +2 | 21 |
| 12 |  Miami FC | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20:24 | -4 | 21 |
| 13 | Sacramento Republic | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:14 | +2 | 20 |
| 14 |  Phoenix Rising | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 23:24 | -1 | 20 |
| 15 |  Colorado Springs Switchbacks | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24:22 | +2 | 19 |
| 16 |  Rhode Island FC | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24:18 | +6 | 19 |
| 17 |  Hartford Athletic | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 19 |
| 18 |  El Paso Locomotive | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 25:25 | 0 | 19 |
| 19 |  Lexington SC | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22:20 | +2 | 18 |
| 20 |  Las Vegas Lights | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23:26 | -3 | 18 |
| 21 |  Monterey Bay | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16:25 | -9 | 15 |
| 22 |  Birmingham Legion | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 14 |
| 23 |  Brooklyn FC | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17:26 | -9 | 13 |
| 24 |  Loudoun United | 15 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 18:29 | -11 | 12 |
| 25 |  Sporting Jax | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 23:44 | -21 | 8 |
Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots Prediction (May 17)
Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots prediction for the USL Cup match on May 17, 2026. Based on head-to-head dominance, home form, and league standings, Sacramento Republic enters with a 62% win probability, while the draw stands at 23% and Oakland Roots has just a 15% chance.
Team Form
Sacramento Republic's recent five matches:
- Loss (0-2 at AC Boise)
- Win (2-1 vs Rhode Island)
- Draw (0-0 at Tulsa Roughnecks)
- Loss (0-1 vs New Mexico United)
- Win (1-0 at Colorado Springs Switchbacks)
Their form shows two wins, two losses, and a draw, with a solid defensive record in the victories.
Oakland Roots' last five:
- Loss (1-3 vs Spokane Velocity)
- Loss (1-2 at New Mexico United)
- Win (4-3 at Phoenix Rising)
- Draw (1-1 vs Birmingham Legion)
- Draw (0-0 vs Miami FC)
Oakland has one win, two draws, and two losses, conceding eight goals in that span.
Head-to-Head Record
These teams have met three times, with Sacramento Republic winning twice and drawing once. Oakland Roots have never beaten Sacramento. The most recent clash on May 17, 2026, saw Sacramento win 1-0 away. The other results: a 3-3 draw in Sacramento in August 2025, and a 1-0 Sacramento win away in May 2025. The clear H2H advantage strongly favors the home side.
League Table Positions
In the USL Cup overall standings, Sacramento Republic sits 3rd with 3 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses, 7 goals scored and 1 conceded, totaling 9 points. Oakland Roots are not listed in the top 12, indicating a lower league position. Sacramento also boasts the best home record: 2 wins, 6 goals for, 1 against, and 6 points from their home matches.
Win Probability: Sacramento Republic or Oakland Roots?
We calculate the outcome chances as: Sacramento Republic win 62%, draw 23%, Oakland Roots win 15%. This is based on Sacramento's perfect head-to-head record (2W-1D-0L), home advantage (top home record), superior league ranking, and Oakland's absence from the top tier. While recent form is mixed, the historical edge and home strength make a home win the most probable result.
Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots Prediction: Who Will Win?
Given the data, Sacramento Republic is the clear favorite. The home side's strong defense (just 1 goal conceded in home league games) and Oakland's leaky backline (8 goals allowed in their last five matches) point to a home win. A draw is possible, but an Oakland upset seems unlikely based on the available stats.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers' odds are not available for this fixture. However, based on the analysis, the prediction is a home victory for Sacramento Republic. Expect a tight match with a possible 1-0 or 2-0 scoreline.
Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots — FAQ
- Who will win Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots?
- Sacramento Republic has a 62% chance of winning, the draw is at 23%, and Oakland Roots has a 15% chance. This is based on Sacramento's dominant head-to-head record, home advantage, and higher league position.
- What is the win probability for Sacramento Republic?
- The win probability for Sacramento Republic is 62%. They have never lost to Oakland Roots in three meetings, have a perfect home record in the league, and sit 3rd overall while Oakland is unranked.
- When is the Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots match?
- The match is on May 17, 2026, at 00:00 UTC. It is a USL Cup fixture between Sacramento Republic and Oakland Roots.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Odds are not currently available from the data. Based on the stats, bookmakers would likely price Sacramento Republic as the clear favorite.
- What is the head-to-head record between Sacramento Republic and Oakland Roots?
- Sacramento Republic leads the head-to-head with 2 wins and 1 draw from 3 matches. Oakland Roots have not won any of the encounters, with the most recent meeting ending in a 1-0 away win for Sacramento.