Mes Kerman - Navad Urmia FC prediction 16 July 2026

Mes Kerman vs Navad Urmia FC prediction for the Azadegan League match on July 16, 2026. Our analysis gives Mes Kerman a 50% chance to win, a draw at 35%, and Navad Urmia FC a 15% probability. The match kicks off at 16:15 UTC at Mes Kerman's home ground.

Team Form

Mes Kerman

Mes Kerman's recent form has been a series of draws. In their last five matches, they have drawn all five: 0-0 vs Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas (Jul 3), 1-1 vs Shahrdari Noshahr (Jun 27), 1-1 vs FC Pars Jonoubi Jam Bushehr (Jun 21), 1-1 vs Havadar SC (Jun 15), and 0-0 vs Naft Gachsaran (Jun 9). They have been solid defensively, conceding only 4 goals in these 5 games, but have struggled to turn draws into wins.

Navad Urmia FC

Navad Urmia FC's away form is poor. In their last five away matches, they have lost four and drawn one: a 0-2 loss to Saipa (Jul 11), a 1-4 loss to Sanat Naft Abadan (Jul 3), a 0-2 loss to Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas (Jun 21), a 0-0 draw with Shahrdari Noshahr (Jun 16), and a 0-2 loss to Havadar SC (Jun 2). They have scored just 1 goal and conceded 10 in these five games.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met 8 times in the Azadegan League. Mes Kerman has won 2, with 6 draws, and Navad Urmia FC is yet to win. The most recent encounter was on December 26, 2025, ending in a 1-1 draw. The head-to-head record strongly favors Mes Kerman.

League Table Positions

In the Azadegan League overall standings, Mes Kerman sits 9th with 42 points from 33 matches (9 wins, 15 draws, 9 losses). Navad Urmia FC is not in the top 12, indicating they are lower in the table. Mes Kerman has scored 20 goals and conceded 18, showing a balanced but low-scoring style. Navad Urmia FC's away struggles are reflected in their league position.

Win Probability: Mes Kerman or Navad Urmia FC?

Based on the available data, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Mes Kerman win 50%, draw 35%, Navad Urmia FC win 15%. The home team's strong head-to-head record (2 wins, 0 losses), combined with Navad Urmia FC's terrible away form (4 losses in 5) and lower league position, makes Mes Kerman the clear favorite. However, Mes Kerman's tendency to draw (15 draws in 33 league games, and 5 consecutive draws) increases the likelihood of a stalemate. Navad Urmia FC's chances are slim, given they have never beaten Mes Kerman and are struggling on the road.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for this match are currently unavailable. Based on the statistical analysis, our Mes Kerman vs Navad Urmia FC prediction is a home win, but with a strong possibility of a draw. Betting tips: a double chance 1X (Mes Kerman or draw) could be a safer option if odds become available. The match is likely to be low-scoring, given Mes Kerman's defensive solidity and Navad Urmia FC's lack of goals away.