Fort Wayne - Indy Eleven prediction 16 May 2026

The Indy Eleven vs Fort Wayne prediction for the USL Cup match on May 16, 2026, ended in a 2-2 draw, confirming a closely balanced contest. Our pre-match analysis gave Indy Eleven a 40% win probability, while Fort Wayne had a 30% chance, with the draw also at 30%.

Team Form

Indy Eleven's recent form across their last five matches reads W, D, D, L, W. This includes a 2-0 home win over Charleston Battery (Jul 04) and a 2-0 USL Cup victory against Forward Madison FC. Fort Wayne recorded W, W, D, D, L in their last five outings, highlighted by a 2-0 away win at Richmond Kickers and a 3-0 home win against Spokane Velocity. Both sides share identical win-draw-loss records over this stretch.

Head-to-Head Record

This USL Cup clash marked the first competitive meeting between Indy Eleven and Fort Wayne, so there was no prior head-to-head history before this 2-2 draw.

Win Probability: Indy Eleven or Fort Wayne?

Based on the available data, the win probabilities are: Indy Eleven 40%, draw 30%, Fort Wayne 30%. The calculation uses recent form (both sides with two wins, two draws and one loss) and gives a slight edge to the home team, Indy Eleven. In such an even match, the home advantage was the likely deciding factor, but the eventual 2-2 scoreline underlined how little separated the teams.

Odds & Match Prediction

No betting odds were available for this fixture. With home advantage, bookmakers would likely have made Indy Eleven narrow favourites. Our prediction foresaw a tight contest where a draw was a real possibility, a forecast borne out by the final 2-2 result.