Chad - Ghana prediction 4 September 2025

Chad faces Ghana in a World Cup Qualification Africa fixture on September 4, 2025, at 13:00. Based on recent form, head-to-head record, and league standings, Ghana is the clear favorite with a 64% probability of winning, while Chad has only a 12% chance. Here is our detailed Chad vs Ghana prediction.

Team Form

Chad Form

Chad are struggling, with their last five matches yielding four losses and one draw: L, L, D, L, L. At home, they lost 0–4 to Burundi, 2–3 to Central African Republic, and 0–2 to Mali, only managing a 2–2 draw with Mozambique. They have conceded at least two goals in four of those five games, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.

Ghana Form

Ghana have recorded one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five outings: L, L, D, W, D. They beat Panama 1–0, drew 0–0 with England and 1–1 with Wales, and suffered narrow defeats to Colombia (1–0) and Croatia (2–1). While not dominant, Ghana’s results have come against stronger opponents, showing they can compete at a higher level.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met twice. Ghana won the first encounter 5–0 at home in March 2025. The reverse fixture on September 4, 2025, ended in a 1–1 draw. Ghana has one win and one draw in the head-to-head, scoring 6 goals and conceding 1. Chad have never beaten Ghana.

League Table Positions

In the overall World Cup Qualification Africa standings, Ghana sits 5th with 25 points from 10 matches (8 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). Chad does not feature among the top 12 teams listed, suggesting a significant quality gap. Ghana’s away record has been solid, while Chad have struggled to pick up points even at home against regional rivals.

Win Probability: Chad or Ghana?

After analyzing all available data, the win probabilities are: Chad 12%, Draw 24%, Ghana 64%. Ghana’s superior squad, historical dominance, and much higher league standing make them the overwhelming favorite. Chad’s poor defensive record—conceding multiple goals in most of their recent home matches—further tilts the odds in Ghana’s favor, even when playing on the road.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ 1X2 odds are not currently available for this fixture. Based on the statistics, Ghana is the predicted winner. A low-scoring game is possible, but Ghana’s quality should secure a victory. Our Chad vs Ghana prediction: Ghana to win.