
Liberia
For fans and analysts looking for reliable Liberia stats and predictions, this page compiles the latest match data, form trends, and a data-driven win probability model for the Lone Star. The team competes in international friendlies, World Cup qualifiers, and the African Cup of Nations, and its recent performances tell a story of struggle and occasional resurgence.
Liberiaโs last five matches have produced just one victory, alongside one draw and three defeats, a run that underlines current difficulties. The sequence, from most recent to oldest, is: W โ L โ D โ L โ L. The 3โ1 home win over Sierra Leone on 9 June 2026 snapped a fourโgame winless streak (three losses and a draw), offering a glimmer of improvement. In that stretch, Liberia scored 5 goals and conceded 7, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.4 goals conceded per match. Defensive fragility remains a concern, with clean sheets in none of these five games.
Home form has been mixed: the win over Sierra Leone and a 2โ2 draw with Libya were at the Samuel Kanyon Doe Stadium, while defeats on the road to Sierra Leone (0โ1), Benin (0โ1) and Guinea (0โ2) highlight travel struggles. Overall, the team has scored in only two of the five matches, both at home.
With no nextโmatch odds available in the dataset, a probability assessment is derived from the teamโs recent form. Based on the last five results, Liberiaโs empirical win probability stands at 20% (1 win in 5). The chance of a draw is also 20% (1 draw), while the probability of a loss is 60% (3 losses). This distribution reflects the current performance level and can serve as a baseline for upcoming fixtures, whether in friendlies or competitive qualifiers.
The reasoning is straightforward: with 5 goals scored and 7 conceded, Liberia generates limited offensive output and struggles to keep opponents out. Unless the team can tighten its defence or find a more consistent goal threatโtop scorers in the recent sample are spread thinโthe outlook suggests that in a typical match against comparable opposition, Liberia will lose more often than not. The 20% win rate, however, indicates that an upset is possible, particularly at home where the team earned both of its positive results (win and draw). For predictive purposes, bettors and fans should factor in these percentages, adjusting for opponent strength and venue when more specific data becomes available.