Thonburi United
Thonburi United stats and match predictions are the go-to resource for followers of this Thai Division 3 side. With recent form showing only one win in five outings, the teamโs consistency is in question. This analysis covers their latest results, key performance numbers, and a data-driven win probability for future fixtures.
Thonburi Unitedโs recent sequence of results in Division 3 reads D, D, L, W, L, pointing to a team that struggles to string positive outcomes together. The lone victory came on April 29, 2026, an away 2-1 win against Samut Sakhon City. The two draws were both high-scoring home games (3-3 vs Samut Sakhon City on May 10 and 1-1 vs Nara United on May 16). The losses: a 0-3 home defeat to Satun United on April 26 and a 0-2 away reverse at Satun United on May 3. Over these five matches, Thonburi United scored 6 goals and conceded 10, exposing a leaky backline that has yet to register a clean sheet.
Home performances have been particularly disappointing, with no wins in three attempts (two draws, one loss) and seven goals conceded. Away from home, the record is fractionally better: one win and one loss, with two goals scored and three conceded. This disparity suggests that playing at home has not provided the expected advantage for Thonburi United.
All matches took place in Thailand's Division 3. Notably, three of the five games saw both teams score and over 2.5 goals, indicating that when Thonburi United takes the field, goals are usually on the menu.
The absence of clean sheets and a high goals-conceded average suggest that the defense is the team's Achilles' heel. Thonburi United have conceded two or more goals in four of their last five matches, a trend that must be reversed if they are to improve their win rate.
When evaluating Thonburi United's chances in upcoming Division 3 fixtures, the data from their last five matches provides a clear, if modest, outlook. The team has won 1 of those 5 games, translating to an estimated win probability of 20%. The draw probability sits at 40% (2 draws), while the loss probability is also 40% (2 losses).
These numbers reflect a side that finds it tough to secure victories, yet often remains competitive enough to earn a point. The high likelihood of both teams scoring (80%) and over 2.5 goals (80%) suggests that betting markets expecting goals could be attractive, but backing Thonburi United to win outright carries significant risk. In its current form, Thonburi United wins around 20% of its matches, making them underdogs in most standard head-to-head betting scenarios.
It is important to note that this win probability estimate is based on a small sample of recent matches. A longer-term analysis or specific opposition data could shift these percentages. Once the next fixture and odds become available, bettors can fine-tune the prediction by incorporating opponent form and market movements. Currently, however, the straightforward arithmetic of 1 win in 5 matches gives Thonburi United a 20% chance of victory in any upcoming game.