Campeonato Carioca. Serie B1
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 14:7 | +7 | 22 | |
| 2 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 14:8 | +6 | 19 | |
| 3 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:11 | +3 | 18 | |
| 4 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | +1 | 18 | |
| 5 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | +2 | 16 | |
| 6 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 11:9 | +2 | 16 | |
| 7 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 16 | |
| 8 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 9:8 | +1 | 15 | |
| 9 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11:10 | +1 | 13 | |
| 10 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 12 | |
| 11 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 10 | |
| 12 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3:13 | -10 | 4 |
The Campeonato Carioca Serie B1 2025 is a regional football league in Brazil, representing the second tier of the Rio de Janeiro state championship. The 2025 season, which started on September 6 and is set to conclude on December 6, has completed all 11 matchdays, with Bonsucesso RJ currently leading the table. With 74 matches finished and an average of 1.94 goals per game, the competition among the 12 teams has been tight, setting the stage for a thrilling conclusion.
Bonsucesso RJ sits at the top of the Campeonato Carioca Serie B1 table with 22 points from 11 matches, having secured 6 wins, 4 draws, and only 1 loss. Their defensive solidity, conceding just 7 goals, is a key factor in their success. The race for the top spots remains competitive: Sao Cristovao FR RJ holds second place with 19 points, closely followed by Serrano RJ and Duque de Caxias RJ, both on 18 points. The battle for promotion or playoff positions is fierce, with Niteroiense RJ and Goncalense Petropolis RJ also in contention on 16 points. At the other end, EC Nova Cidade RJ, also on 16 points, highlights how compressed the standings are, where a single result can dramatically shift a team's fortunes in the relegation-threatened zone.
Based on the current standings and form, we estimate the title chances for the main contenders. Bonsucesso RJ has around a 55% chance to win the league. Their 3-point lead, the best defensive record in the league, and only one defeat make them the clear frontrunner. Sao Cristovao FR RJ is the primary challenger with approximately a 25% chance. They are within striking distance, just 3 points behind, and also boast a strong defense. Serrano RJ has around a 10% chance, sitting 4 points off the lead. While they have the same goal-scoring output as the top two, their slightly leakier defense and the need to overcome two teams make their path more difficult. The remaining probability is distributed among the chasing pack, but the title is likely to be decided among these three.
The 2025 Campeonato Carioca Serie B1 season has produced 1.94 goals per match on average across 74 completed events. The top scorers list is not available in the current data, but the team stats reveal a balanced offensive output among the leaders. Niteroiense RJ has scored the most goals (16), despite sitting in 5th place, indicating exciting but perhaps inconsistent performances. In contrast, Bonsucesso RJ's title charge is built on the division's meanest defense, having conceded only 7 goals in 11 games. The league's competitive nature is further underscored by the fact that the most successful team is statistically undefined, pointing to a wide-open field where no single club has been historically dominant this season.
Our Campeonato Carioca Serie B1 match predictions are generated by analyzing a combination of statistical factors, including recent form, points gaps, goals scored and conceded, and historical head-to-head odds. With the regular season's 11 matchdays completed, the upcoming fixtures will be crucial for determining the final standings. For example, any slip-up by Bonsucesso RJ could blow the title race wide open, giving Sao Cristovao FR RJ a direct opportunity to capitalize. Predictions for the remaining schedule will heavily weigh the defensive resilience of the top teams against the attacking threats like Niteroiense RJ, providing outcome probabilities for every match to guide betting and fan expectations.