Chongqing Tonglianglong - Zhejiang Lucheng Hangzhou Greentown prediction 18 July 2026

The Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Zhejiang Lucheng Hangzhou Greentown prediction for July 18, 2026, in the China Super League sees the home side as a narrow favorite. Based on our win probability analysis, Chongqing Tonglianglong has a 35% chance of winning, the draw is at 35%, and Zhejiang Lucheng Hangzhou Greentown has a 30% chance. The match kicks off at 11:00 at Tongliang Long Stadium.

Team Form

Chongqing Tonglianglong's last five matches show a mixed run: a 1-1 draw away to Chengdu Rongcheng, a 3-1 loss away to Liaoning Shenyang Urban Tieren, a 1-0 home win over Tianjin Jinmen Tiger, a 2-0 away win against Ningbo Professional FC (FA Cup), and a 3-2 home defeat to Beijing Guoan. That gives them two wins, one draw, and two losses.

Zhejiang Lucheng Hangzhou Greentown's recent away form is similar. They beat Qingdao Hainiu 3-2 at home, lost 3-2 at Shanghai Shenhua, lost 3-1 at Qingdao West Coast, drew 1-1 at Shaanxi Union (FA Cup), and won 2-0 at Henan Jianye Songshan Longmen. Their last five results also include two wins, one draw, and two losses.

Head-to-Head Record

The only previous meeting between these sides took place on April 5, 2026. Zhejiang Lucheng Hangzhou Greentown hosted Chongqing Tonglianglong and lost 1-0. That away victory gives Chongqing a 1-0 lead in the head-to-head record.

League Table Positions

Chongqing Tonglianglong sit 4th in the China Super League with 28 points from 18 matches (7 wins, 7 draws, 4 losses). They have scored 22 goals and conceded 20. Zhejiang Lucheng Hangzhou Greentown are 7th with 25 points (7 wins, 4 draws, 7 losses), scoring 26 and conceding 31. At home, Chongqing are 6th in the home table with 16 points (4 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss), while Zhejiang rank 8th in the away table with 10 points (3 wins, 1 draw, 5 losses).

Win Probability: Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Zhejiang Lucheng Hangzhou Greentown Prediction

We calculated the win probabilities using bookmaker odds as a base, then adjusted for recent form, head-to-head results, and league positions. The implied odds gave a starting point of roughly 30% home win, 37% draw, and 33% away win. However, Chongqing's home advantage, their 1-0 H2H win, and a higher league standing tip the balance slightly in their favor. Both teams show inconsistent form, so the draw remains a strong possibility. Our final assessment: Chongqing Tonglianglong has a 35% chance of winning, the draw is at 35%, and Zhejiang Lucheng Hangzhou Greentown has a 30% chance.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this match are: home win 2.92, draw 2.32, away win 2.62. Bookmakers see the draw as the most likely single outcome, but our analysis gives Chongqing a slight edge. Based on the stats, Chongqing Tonglianglong is the more likely winner, though a draw is a very real possibility. Expect a tight contest with few goals.