Zaglebie Lubin - Radomiak Radom prediction 11 April 2026

Zaglebie Lubin vs Radomiak Radom prediction for the Ekstraklasa match on Apr 11, 2026, at 15:30. Based on recent form and head-to-head record, Zaglebie Lubin enters as the favorite with a 60% win probability. Radomiak Radom, struggling with five straight losses, faces an uphill battle. This preview covers team form, H2H stats, win probabilities, and betting insights.

Team Form

Zaglebie Lubin's last five results: L, W, W, W, L. They have won three of those matches, including friendlies against Pogon Szczecin (2-0), Sport Podbrezova Zeleziarne (3-2), and Miedz Legnica (3-0). The two losses came against Banik Ostrava (0-2) and Jagiellonia Bialystok (0-1). At home, they have been solid, scoring multiple goals in their victories.

Radomiak Radom's form is alarming: L, L, L, L, L. They lost all five recent outings, conceding heavily—4-2 to Dynamo Kyiv, 2-1 to LKS Lodz, 3-2 to Hapoel Be'er Sheva, 6-2 to Gornik Zabrze, and 3-1 to Lech Poznan. Defensive frailties are evident, with 18 goals conceded in these five matches.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last five meetings, Zaglebie Lubin and Radomiak Radom are evenly matched: two wins each and one draw. The most recent encounter (Apr 11, 2026) ended 1-0 to Zaglebie at home. Before that, Radomiak won 3-1 at home in October 2025, and a Cup tie in September 2025 finished 0-0. Zaglebie also won 1-0 away in April 2025, while Radomiak triumphed 3-2 in Lubin back in 2023. The H2H suggests tight contests, but current form tilts the balance.

Win Probability: Zaglebie Lubin or Radomiak Radom?

After analyzing all available data—team form, head-to-head record, and home advantage—we calculate the following win probabilities:

• Zaglebie Lubin win: 60%
• Draw: 25%
• Radomiak Radom win: 15%

Zaglebie Lubin's superior recent results (three wins in five) and home advantage give them a clear edge. Radomiak Radom's five-match losing streak, with defensive issues, makes an away win unlikely. The H2H is balanced, but current momentum strongly favors the home side. Therefore, Zaglebie Lubin is the more probable winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

No bookmaker odds are available in the data, but based on the stats, bookmakers would likely price Zaglebie Lubin as the favorite. A home win is the most expected outcome. Our prediction: Zaglebie Lubin to win. The match could see under 2.5 goals given the tight H2H history, but Radomiak's leaky defense might lead to a 2-0 or 2-1 scoreline.