Korona Kielce - Zaglebie Lubin prediction 6 February 2026

The Zaglebie Lubin vs Korona Kielce prediction for February 6, 2026, in the Ekstraklasa points to a closely contested match. Based on recent form and head-to-head statistics, Korona Kielce enter as the slight favorites with a 40% win probability, while Zaglebie Lubin have a 30% chance and the draw stands at 30%.

Team Form

Zaglebie Lubin's recent form shows three consecutive friendly wins in July 2026, but their last two Ekstraklasa matches in May 2026 ended in defeats against Jagiellonia Bialystok (0-1) and Pogon Szczecin (0-1). Overall, their last five results read W, W, W, L, L.

Korona Kielce have been more consistent, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five outings (W, D, W, L, D). In the Ekstraklasa, they drew 1-1 with Cracovia Krakow, beat Widzew Lodz 1-0, lost 0-2 to Rakow Czestochowa, and drew 1-1 with Piast Gliwice. Their league form is clearly superior heading into this fixture.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head record across 13 matches shows 4 home wins, 4 draws, and 5 away wins, indicating a slight advantage for traveling sides. In the last four meetings (excluding this fixture), Zaglebie Lubin won once, Korona Kielce won once, and two ended in draws. The most recent of those was a 1-1 draw in August 2025.

Win Probability: Zaglebie Lubin or Korona Kielce?

After analyzing the available data, we assign a 30% chance to a Zaglebie Lubin victory, a 30% chance to a draw, and a 40% chance to a Korona Kielce win. This assessment is based on Korona's better recent league form, the historical head-to-head trend favoring away teams (5 away wins in 13 matches), and Zaglebie's two consecutive league defeats. Home advantage for Zaglebie is offset by their poor Ekstraklasa results and the absence of defender M. Grzybek.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds for this match are not currently available from bookmakers. However, based on the statistical model, Korona Kielce are the predicted winners. Our betting tip would be to back the away win or the draw no bet on Korona if odds become available. Zaglebie Lubin's defensive vulnerability and Korona's steady form make the visitors the value pick.