Zaglebie Lubin II - Carina Gubin prediction 12 May 2026

The Zaglebie Lubin II vs Carina Gubin prediction for the III Liga match on May 12, 2026, at 15:00 points towards a strong away performance. Based on recent form, head-to-head records, and the league picture, Carina Gubin enters as the clear favorite with a 55% chance of winning, while Zaglebie Lubin II holds a 25% win probability and the draw sits at 20%.

Team Form

Zaglebie Lubin II come into this match with just one win in their last five outings (W1, D1, L3). Their most recent fixtures include a 0-4 friendly loss to Karkonosze Jelenia Gora and a 2-2 draw with KKS Wlokniarz 1925 Kalisz. In league action, they suffered a 2-3 defeat at LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj and a 1-3 home loss against Miedz II Legnica, before a narrow 2-1 away win at Warta Gorzow Wielkopolski. At home, they have lost their last two matches across all competitions.

Carina Gubin’s form looks much healthier, claiming three wins from their last five games (W3, L2). After a 2-3 loss at Karkonosze Jelenia Gora on April 14, they responded with a 2-1 victory at LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj and a 2-0 win at Lzs Starowice. A recent 1-2 home defeat to Polonia Nysa on May 30 is the only blemish in an otherwise strong run of results away from home.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met twice in friendly fixtures, with Zaglebie Lubin II winning 4-1 at home on January 17, 2026, and a 2-2 draw on July 12, 2025. The competitive head-to-head in III Liga is yet to be written, but Carina Gubin’s superior away form this season gives them the edge in this first league encounter.

League Table Positions

Neither team appears in the top 12 of the III Liga standings, suggesting both sides are fighting in the lower reaches of the table. Without precise ranks, the form guide becomes even more important — and on that basis Carina Gubin’s three-match winning streak away from home earlier in the campaign indicates they are capable of taking points on the road.

Win Probability: Zaglebie Lubin II or Carina Gubin?

After weighing all available data, Carina Gubin has a 55% chance of winning this match. Zaglebie Lubin II’s win probability is 25%, and a draw is rated at 20%. This calculation rests heavily on recent form, where Carina Gubin collected nine points from their last five matches compared to just four for the hosts. Zaglebie’s poor home record — two straight defeats — neutralises any home advantage, while Carina Gubin’s away wins at Lzs Starowice and LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj highlight their travelling strength.

Odds & Match Prediction

Specific match odds were not available in our data source at the time of writing. Nonetheless, the stats point firmly towards an away win. Carina Gubin’s momentum and Zaglebie’s defensive fragility make the visitors the likeliest winners. A 2-0 or 2-1 away scoreline would not surprise.