FC Arbaer - Ymir prediction 15 June 2026

The Ymir vs FC Arbaer prediction for the 3nd Division match on June 15, 2026, at 19:00 gives Ymir a 45% win probability. FC Arbaer have a 30% chance, while the draw is at 25%. This prediction is based on recent form, head-to-head record, and home advantage.

Team Form

Ymir come into this match with a mixed run of results. Their last five matches show two wins, one draw, and two losses (W, W, L, D, L). The most recent outing was a 2-3 defeat against KV Vesturbaer Reykjavik on Jul 02. Before that, they drew 2-2 away at Reynir Sandgerdi and lost 2-3 at home to Hottur/Huginn. The two victories came against FC Arbaer (3-2 away) and KA Asvellir (2-0 home).

FC Arbaer are in poor form, with four losses and one draw in their last five matches (L, D, L, L, L). They lost 0-2 at home to Hottur/Huginn on Jul 04, drew 2-2 away at KF Fjallabyggdar, and suffered defeats against KA Asvellir (1-2), Ymir (2-3), and Vidir (0-1). The team has struggled to pick up points and will need a big improvement to get a result here.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last five meetings between these sides, the away team has won four times, with one home victory. The most recent clash was on Jun 15, 2026, when Ymir won 3-2 away at FC Arbaer. Earlier encounters include a 2-0 away win for FC Arbaer in August 2025, a 3-1 home win for FC Arbaer in June 2025, and two more away wins for FC Arbaer in 2023 (2-1 and 3-1). This head-to-head trend strongly favours the visiting side.

Win Probability: Ymir or FC Arbaer?

Based on all available data, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Ymir 45%, draw 25%, FC Arbaer 30%. Ymir's slightly better recent form (two wins in the last five) gives them the edge, but the head-to-head record shows a clear pattern of away success. FC Arbaer's poor current form (no wins in five) lowers their chances, yet the historical trend cannot be ignored. Home advantage for Ymir is factored in, but the overall picture suggests a close match with a slight lean towards the home side.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds are not currently available for this fixture. Without odds, our prediction relies solely on the statistical analysis. The data points to a competitive game where Ymir are the more likely winners, but a draw or an away win are realistic outcomes. Our final Ymir vs FC Arbaer prediction is a home win, with the 45% probability reflecting the balance of form and head-to-head factors.