Ankara Demirspor - Yeni Malatyaspor prediction 28 September 2025

Yeni Malatyaspor vs Ankara Demirspor prediction for the 2 Lig match on Sep 28, 2025, at 12:30. Based on recent form and head-to-head data, Ankara Demirspor enters the match with a 40% chance to win, while Yeni Malatyaspor's win probability sits at 25%, and the draw is 35%. Here is the full analysis.

Team Form

Yeni Malatyaspor

Yeni Malatyaspor have struggled badly in recent weeks. Their last five results read L, L, L, D, L. They suffered heavy defeats, including an 8-1 loss away to Aliaga Futbol and a 6-1 loss at Fethiyespor. At home, they lost 0-4 against 1461 Trabzon. The only point came in a 1-1 draw at this very opponent, Ankara Demirspor, on the same ground later used as away. Defensive frailties are a major concern.

Ankara Demirspor

Ankara Demirspor's form is mixed but noticeably better. Their last five results show D, L, L, D, W. They managed a 2-0 home win over Menemen Belediyespor, and draws against Guzide Gebzespor (2-2) and 68 Aksaray Belediyespor (2-2). The two defeats came against Bursaspor (0-1) and Kahramanmaras Istiklalspor (0-2). While not spectacular, this sequence includes a win and two draws, suggesting slightly more resilience than Yeni Malatyaspor.

Head-to-Head Record

There is only one previous meeting between these sides in our database. On Sep 28, 2025, Ankara Demirspor hosted Yeni Malatyaspor and the match ended 1-1. The draw shows little to separate the two teams, but the small sample size limits its predictive value.

League Table Positions

Neither Yeni Malatyaspor nor Ankara Demirspor appear in the top 12 of the 2 Lig standings, either overall, at home, or away. This indicates both are situated in the lower half of the table, with likely similar struggles throughout the season.

Win Probability: Yeni Malatyaspor or Ankara Demirspor?

After evaluating the available data, the win probabilities are as follows: Yeni Malatyaspor 25%, draw 35%, Ankara Demirspor 40%. This estimation is based on recent form – Yeni Malatyaspor have four defeats in five and a negative goal difference, while Ankara Demirspor have one win and two draws in their last five. Home advantage might normally boost the hosts, but Yeni Malatyaspor's heavy home loss to 1461 Trabzon and overall fragility make them underdogs. The head-to-head record is a single draw, which supports the possibility of a stalemate. Overall, Ankara Demirspor appear slightly more likely to take the three points.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds are not available for this fixture in our data source. However, based on the stats, the away team is seen as the narrow favorite. Our prediction leans toward an Ankara Demirspor win or a draw, with the most likely outcome being a 1-1 or 1-2 scoreline given both teams' defensive issues. As always, this is only a statistical view – football is unpredictable.