Yelimay Semey Women vs Irtysh Pavlodar Women prediction for their Super League Women fixture on Jul 07, 2026. Based on recent form and head-to-head record, Yelimay Semey Women enter the match as the favorite with a 55% chance of winning, while the draw sits at 25% and an Irtysh Pavlodar Women victory at 20%.
Yelimay Semey Women's last five results read L, W, D, W, W โ three wins, one draw and one loss. That sequence includes a heavy 0-6 defeat to Aktobe Women and a 3-1 away success at Irtysh Pavlodar Women, plus a 2-2 home draw with the same opponent. Their most productive recent display was a 4-1 win at FC Altay Oskemen Women. Overall, Yelimay have scored in four of those five outings and conceded in three, so both teams to score is a recurring theme.
Irtysh Pavlodar Women show L, D, L, W, W across their last five. They suffered a 1-2 home loss to FK Astana Women and a 1-3 reverse against Yelimay Semey Women, but collected back-to-back away wins at Okzhetpes Women (3-0) and FC Tobol Women (3-1). The away side has netted exactly three goals in each of those victories, so they carry a decent attacking threat on the road despite the mixed overall form.
These teams have met twice in the Super League Women, with Yelimay Semey Women holding a clear edge: 1 win and 1 draw. Irtysh Pavlodar Women are yet to record a victory in this fixture. The most recent clash on Jul 07, 2026 ended 3-1 in Yelimay's favor, while the earlier encounter on Jun 23, 2026 finished 2-2. Across the two meetings, a total of 8 goals were scored, averaging 4.0 per game.
Using the available form data, head-to-head record and the home advantage, we calculate the following win probabilities:
Yelimay Semey Women's superior recent form (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) and their unbeaten H2H record (1W 1D) are the main drivers. Although Irtysh have picked up two away wins recently, they have lost in two of their last three matches and have never beaten Yelimay. Home advantage further tilts the probabilities, making Yelimay the most likely winner.
No bookmaker odds are currently available for this fixture. Therefore, the prediction relies purely on statistical indicators. Based on the Yelimay Semey Women vs Irtysh Pavlodar Women prediction model, the home side has a higher chance of securing three points. The data suggests a low-scoring affair could still break either way, but Yelimay's consistency and H2H dominance point to a home win. As always in football, tight margins can lead to a draw, so cautious betting is advised.