SC Freiburg Women - Wolfsburg Women prediction 9 May 2026

Our Wolfsburg Women vs SC Freiburg Women prediction for the Bundesliga Women match on May 09 at 12:00 is a strong home victory. Wolfsburg Women enters this fixture as the clear favorite with a 72% win probability, backed by dominant head-to-head history and a superior league position.

Team Form

Wolfsburg Women's recent form shows three wins and two losses in their last five matches. They secured a 3-1 home victory against Nurnberg (Norimberga) Women on May 17, but suffered a heavy 0-4 home defeat to Bayern Munich Women in the Cup Women on May 14. Their other recent results include a 4-2 away win at SC Freiburg Women on May 09, a 3-2 home win over RB Leipzig Women on May 02, and a 1-3 away loss to FFC Eintracht Frankfurt Women on April 26.

SC Freiburg Women have managed one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five outings. They drew 1-1 away at Essen-Schonebeck Women on May 17, lost 2-4 at home to Wolfsburg Women on May 09, won 5-1 away at Carl Zeiss Jena Women on May 03, lost 1-4 away at Bayer Leverkusen Women on April 26, and lost 1-2 at home to TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Women on March 29.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Wolfsburg Women. In 28 previous meetings, Wolfsburg Women have won 22 times, SC Freiburg Women have won just 2, and there have been 4 draws. The most recent clash on May 09 saw Wolfsburg Women win 4-2 away. Before that, Wolfsburg Women won 3-1 at home on December 05, 2025, and 3-1 at home in the Cup Women on November 15, 2025. A rare draw occurred on April 13, 2025, when the match ended 1-1.

League Table Positions

In the Bundesliga Women overall standings, Wolfsburg Women sit 2nd with 55 points from 25 matches (17 wins, 4 draws, 4 losses). SC Freiburg Women are 8th with 33 points (10 wins, 3 draws, 12 losses). The 22-point gap highlights the gulf in class between the two sides. At home, Wolfsburg Women rank 4th with 26 points from 12 games, while SC Freiburg Women are 6th in the away table with 12 points from 13 matches.

Win Probability: Wolfsburg Women or SC Freiburg Women?

Based on the available data, the calculated win probabilities are: Wolfsburg Women 72%, Draw 18%, SC Freiburg Women 10%. This assessment is derived from the inverse of the implied odds adjusted by the dominant head-to-head record (22 wins for Wolfsburg vs 2 for Freiburg), the significant 22-point gap in the league table, and Wolfsburg's stronger recent form. The home advantage for Wolfsburg further solidifies their status as the overwhelming favorite to win this match.

Odds & Match Prediction

While specific bookmaker odds are not provided in the data, the statistical model clearly points to a home win. Based on the stats, Wolfsburg Women are the expected winners. The head-to-head dominance and league standings make it difficult to see anything other than a Wolfsburg victory. A bet on Wolfsburg Women to win is the most logical match outcome prediction.