Willand Rovers - Mousehole prediction 18 March 2026

Willand Rovers vs Mousehole prediction for the Southern Division One clash on March 18, 2026, at 19:30. Based on pre-match data, Willand Rovers were given a 45% win probability, with the draw at 30% and Mousehole at 25%. The match was played at The Stan Robinson Stadium in Stafford.

Team Form

Willand Rovers came into this fixture with mixed recent results. In their three matches before this one, they recorded a 2-0 away win at Melksham Town on Jan 12, a 0-0 home draw with Mousehole on Jan 28, and a 1-0 away loss to Frome Town on Jan 31. That run of form (W-D-L) showed inconsistency but some scoring threat on their travels.

Mousehole’s pre-match form was built on draws. Their last three outings before facing Willand Rovers all finished level: a 1-1 draw at Tavistock on Mar 11, a 0-0 home draw with Mousehole on Jan 28, and a 0-0 away draw at Willand Rovers on Dec 10. The visitors lacked a cutting edge, failing to win any of those fixtures.

Head-to-Head Record

The two most recent meetings between Willand Rovers and Mousehole had both ended in draws. On Dec 10, 2025, they played a 0-0 stalemate at Willand Rovers, and on Jan 28, 2026, the reverse fixture again finished 0-0. These results suggested a tight, low-scoring affair was likely, with the home side yet to beat Mousehole in their last two H2H encounters prior to this match.

League Table Positions

Neither Willand Rovers nor Mousehole appeared in the top 12 of the Southern Division One standings at the time of this fixture. The available league table was led by Frome Town with 102 points, while the bottom of the top 12 had Swindon Supermarine on 50 points. Both teams were therefore competing in the lower half, with no clear table-based advantage for either side.

Win Probability: Willand Rovers or Mousehole?

We calculate the pre-match win probabilities as follows: Willand Rovers 45%, Draw 30%, Mousehole 25%. This weighting reflects Willand Rovers’ home advantage and their slightly better form mix (a win and a draw in the last three vs Mousehole’s three draws). The head-to-head record, with two consecutive 0-0 draws, increased the draw probability. Given the limited attacking output from both sides in recent games, a low-scoring contest was anticipated, with the home side the narrow favourite.

Odds & Match Prediction

No bookmaker odds were available for this fixture in the provided data. Based on the stats alone, our prediction was a narrow home win or a draw, reflecting the tight nature of the matchup. However, the match ended with a decisive 4-1 victory for Willand Rovers. The result surpassed the pre-match forecast, underlining that while home advantage and H2H trends pointed towards a close game, football can deliver a more one-sided outcome on the day.