Waterhouse - Chapelton Maroons prediction 3 May 2026

Waterhouse vs Chapelton Maroons prediction for the Jamaica Premier League match on May 03, 2026. Waterhouse are the favorites with a 60% win probability, while Chapelton Maroons have a 18% chance and the draw is at 22%.

Team Form

Waterhouse's recent form has been mixed: they lost 2-1 away to Mount Pleasant FC on April 28, but their last five results show two wins, one draw, and two losses (L, D, W, W, L). At home, they have been solid, sitting 3rd in the home standings with 32 points from 21 games.

Chapelton Maroons are struggling for consistency. Their last five matches have produced just one win and four defeats (L, L, W, L, L). Away from home, they are not among the top eight teams in the league, and recent away trips include a 5-2 loss at Mount Pleasant FC and a 2-0 defeat at Portmore United.

Head-to-Head Record

In eight previous meetings, Waterhouse have won four, Chapelton Maroons two, and two ended in draws. The most recent encounter before this match was on January 22, 2026, when Waterhouse won 1-0 away. At Waterhouse, the last head-to-head finished 3-0 to the home side on September 30, 2025. Waterhouse have dominated this fixture, especially on home soil.

League Table Positions

Waterhouse are 4th in the Jamaica Premier League with 65 points from 39 matches, just one point behind 3rd-placed Portmore United. Chapelton Maroons sit 8th with 49 points, a 16-point gap. The home and away splits reinforce the gap: Waterhouse have the 3rd-best home record, while Chapelton Maroons are outside the top eight in the away standings.

Win Probability: Waterhouse or Chapelton Maroons?

Based on the available data, Waterhouse have a 60% chance of winning, a draw is rated at 22%, and Chapelton Maroons have an 18% chance. The home advantage, superior league position, stronger recent form, and a dominant head-to-head record all point toward a Waterhouse victory. Chapelton Maroons' poor away form makes an upset unlikely.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds are not currently available for this fixture. However, based on the stats, Waterhouse are the clear favorites. The most probable outcome is a home win, likely with a clean sheet given Chapelton Maroons' scoring struggles on the road. A 2-0 or 3-0 scoreline would be consistent with recent meetings at this venue.