Gotham FC Women - Washington Spirit Women prediction 16 July 2026

Washington Spirit Women vs Gotham FC Women prediction for the NWSL Women match on July 16, 2026. Based on our analysis of team form, head-to-head stats, and league standings, Washington Spirit Women have a 38% chance to win, while Gotham FC Women sit at 25% and the draw is a strong 37% probability.

Team Form

Washington Spirit Women come into this match in excellent form, having won four of their last five matches (W-W-W-L-W). Their most recent result was a convincing 2-0 away victory against North Carolina Courage Women on July 11. At home, they have been particularly strong, beating Houston Dash Women 2-1 and Seattle Reign FC Women 2-1 in their last two NWSL home games. The only blemish was a 5-3 defeat at Club America Women in the Championship Women, but that was away from home.

Gotham FC Women have been inconsistent on the road, with two wins and three losses in their last five away matches (W-L-W-L-L). They did secure a 3-1 win at Utah Royals FC Women on July 11, but suffered a 2-0 loss at San Diego Wave Women just before that. Earlier in the season, they lost 4-1 at Club America Women and 3-0 at home to Pachuca Women in the Championship Women, though they did beat Houston Dash Women 1-0 at home in NWSL play.

Head-to-Head Record

The last two meetings between these sides have favored Gotham FC Women. In the most recent clash on November 23, 2025, Gotham won 1-0 away at Washington Spirit. Before that, on October 1, 2025, the teams played out a 0-0 draw at Gotham. Overall, Gotham have one win and one draw, with Washington yet to record a victory in this fixture.

League Table Positions

Washington Spirit Women sit 2nd in the NWSL Women standings with 27 points from 13 matches (8 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses). They have scored 22 goals and conceded only 10, boasting the second-best goal difference in the league. At home, they are 3rd with 13 points from 6 games (4-1-1). Gotham FC Women are 4th overall with 24 points from 13 games (7-3-3), scoring 15 and conceding 8. Away from home, they rank 3rd with 12 points from 6 matches (4-0-2). The table suggests a close contest, but Washington’s higher position and superior goal difference give them a slight edge.

Win Probability: Washington Spirit Women or Gotham FC Women?

After calculating the implied probabilities from the latest bookmaker odds and adjusting for recent form and head-to-head records, we arrive at the following win probabilities: Washington Spirit Women win – 38%, Draw – 37%, Gotham FC Women win – 25%.

The odds initially pointed to a draw as the most likely outcome (around 42% implied chance), but Washington’s strong home form and higher league standing shift the balance slightly in their favor. However, Gotham’s unbeaten H2H record and solid away performances keep them within striking distance. Overall, Washington Spirit Women are the more probable winner, but a draw is almost equally likely.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have priced this match tightly. The best odds for a Washington Spirit Women home win range from 2.62 to 2.88, the draw is offered between 2.00 and 2.10, and an away win for Gotham FC Women pays between 3.20 and 3.80. These odds reflect the competitive nature of the fixture.

Our Washington Spirit Women vs Gotham FC Women prediction is that the home side has a slight advantage, but the high draw probability makes the 1X double chance an attractive betting tip. Based on the stats, a low-scoring affair is possible, with under 2.5 goals worth considering given both teams’ solid defensive records.