Washington Spirit Women - Denver Summit Women prediction 26 July 2026

Washington Spirit Women vs Denver Summit Women prediction for the NWSL Women match on Mar 28, 2026, at 18:00. Washington Spirit Women enter as strong favorites with a 60% win probability, while a draw has a 25% chance, and Denver Summit Women are given just a 15% chance to win. Read on for in-depth analysis, betting tips, and win probability breakdown.

Team Form

Washington Spirit Women

The Washington Spirit Women have been in excellent form, winning four of their last five matches (W-W-W-L-W). Their most recent result was a 2-0 victory away to North Carolina Courage Women on Jul 11. Before that, they beat Houston Dash Women 2-1 at home and Seattle Reign FC Women 2-1 at home. The only blip was a high-scoring 5-3 loss away to Club America Women in the Championship Women. Overall, they have scored 22 goals in 13 league matches and conceded just 10, showing solid defense.

Denver Summit Women

Denver Summit Women's last five matches show inconsistency: D-L-W-L-W. They drew 2-2 at home with Houston Dash Women on Jul 12, then lost 0-3 at home to Kansas City Women. Prior to that, they beat Racing Louisville Women 1-0 away and lost 1-2 away to Utah Royals FC Women. Their last win before this run was a 3-1 home victory over Orlando Pride Women. With 4 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses in 13 games, they sit mid-to-lower table with 16 points.

Head-to-Head Record

There has been only one previous meeting between these two sides. That match ended in a 0-0 draw with Denver Summit Women as the home side. Washington Spirit Women could not break down the Denver defense that day, but they now have the home advantage which could change the dynamic.

League Table Positions

Washington Spirit Women occupy 2nd place in the NWSL Women standings with 27 points from 13 matches (8 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses). They are just one point behind leaders San Diego Wave Women with a game in hand. At home, they have 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 10 goals and conceding only 4 — a strong home record that ranks them 3rd in the home table.

Denver Summit Women are 11th in the overall table, with 16 points from 13 games (4 wins, 4 draws, 5 losses). Their away form is mid-table: 3 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses from 8 road matches, placing them 6th in the away standings. The gap between the two sides is significant — 11 points — which underlines the difference in quality displayed this season.

Win Probability: Washington Spirit Women or Denver Summit Women?

Based on the available data, Washington Spirit Women hold a 60% chance of winning this game. The draw is estimated at 25%, while Denver Summit Women have a 15% probability of causing an upset.

This calculation considers Washington's superior form (four wins in five), 2nd place in the table versus 11th, a strong home record, and the fact that the only previous meeting was a goalless draw when Denver were at home. With the match now in Washington, the hosts are expected to control proceedings and create more chances. The draw probability remains notable because Denver managed to hold them before, but the overall balance tips heavily toward a home win.

Odds & Match Prediction

No specific bookmaker odds are available in our data for this fixture. However, given the league standings, recent form, and home advantage, bookmakers would likely price Washington Spirit Women as clear favorites, with Denver Summit Women as significant underdogs.

Our Washington Spirit Women vs Denver Summit Women prediction: a home win looks the most likely outcome. Backing Washington Spirit Women to win is the recommended bet, possibly with a clean sheet given their tight defense at home (only 4 goals conceded in 6 home games). A bet on under 2.5 goals could also be worth considering, as the only previous meeting ended 0-0 and Washington’s home matches average only 2.33 total goals.