Virtus Bergamo Alzano Ciserano - Calcio Caldiero Terme prediction 1 February 2026

The Virtus Bergamo Alzano Ciserano vs Calcio Caldiero Terme prediction focuses on the Serie D clash on February 1, 2026 at 13:30. Based on recent form and head-to-head stats, the draw appears the most probable outcome with a 45% chance, while the away side Calcio Caldiero Terme holds a narrow edge for a win at 30%.

Team Form

Virtus Bergamo’s last five matches show mixed results: a 1-1 draw with Castellanzese 1921, a 0-3 loss at Pavia, a 6-1 home win over Vogherese, a 1-1 draw away to ASD Villa D'Alme, and a 1-2 home loss to ASD Varesina Calcio. That sequence gives them five points from 15 (D L W D L).

Calcio Caldiero Terme’s recent form is similar. They drew 2-2 at home to ASD Varesina Calcio, won 0-6 at Vogherese, drew 1-1 at home to ASD Villa D'Alme, lost 1-2 at home to ASD Calcio Brusaporto, and lost 1-3 away to Folgore Caratese. That leaves them also on five points from their last five (D W D L L). Neither side enters with strong momentum.

Head-to-Head Record

The sides have met four times, all in Serie D, with Virtus Bergamo yet to win. The record is 0 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win for Calcio Caldiero Terme. The most recent encounter before this fixture was a 1-1 draw on September 28, 2025; the one before that was a 1-2 home loss for Virtus Bergamo on December 16, 2023. The other head-to-head was a 3-3 draw on January 5, 2022. Calcio Caldiero Terme therefore comes into this match unbeaten in the series.

Win Probability: Virtus Bergamo or Calcio Caldiero Terme?

We calculate the outcome probabilities as follows: Virtus Bergamo win 25%, draw 45%, Calcio Caldiero Terme win 30%. The draw emerges as the single most likely result, reflecting the 75% draw rate in this head-to-head. Calcio Caldiero Terme’s slight edge over the home side comes from their unbeaten H2H record, including one away win, and the fact that both teams have identical recent points hauls. Home advantage has not been a decisive factor in past meetings and is unlikely to sway the match dramatically. Based on the available data, a low-scoring draw is the smartest prediction.

Virtus Bergamo vs Calcio Caldiero Terme Prediction

With no odds data available, the final match prediction rests purely on statistical analysis. The head-to-head dominance of draws and the evenly matched short-term form point to a stalemate. Our verdict: a draw is the most likely outcome (45%), with Calcio Caldiero Terme the slightly more probable winner if a team does take the points. Use these insights as a guide for your betting tips and predictions.