The Villaviciosa de Odon Women vs Sporting Hortaleza Women match on November 16, 2025, in the Tercera Federacion Women is set to be a one-sided affair. Based on the latest form and head-to-head record, Villaviciosa de Odon Women have a 60% chance of winning, while the draw is at 25% and Sporting Hortaleza Women at 15%.
Villaviciosa de Odon Women come into this match with a mixed but overall positive recent record. Their last five results show three wins and two losses (W, L, L, W, W). Notably, they beat CD Masriver Women 5-2 away and Algaidas Women 4-0 away, showing strong attacking form on the road. At home, they lost 2-5 to CD Masriver Women but did secure a 1-0 win over the same Sporting Hortaleza Women side they face today.
Sporting Hortaleza Women, on the other hand, are struggling. Their last five outings have produced no wins, with two draws followed by three defeats (D, D, L, L, L). They drew 1-1 with Pozuelo Alarcon B Women and 4-4 with Fuenlabrada Atlantis Women, but lost 0-1 to Las Rozas CF Women, 0-1 to Villaviciosa de Odon Women, and 2-3 to Madrid CFF C Women. A lack of defensive solidity and only two goals in their last three away matches is a concern.
The teams have met only once before. In that encounter, played on November 16, 2025, Villaviciosa de Odon Women won 1-0 at home. The head-to-head record stands at 1 home win, 0 draws, and 0 away winsโa perfect indicator of home dominance in this fixture.
After analyzing the available data, the win probabilities are calculated as follows:
This estimation is based on the home team's superior recent form (3 wins in 5 vs. the away team's 0 wins in 5), the only head-to-head result being a 1-0 home victory, and the general advantage of playing at home. Sporting Hortaleza Women's winless run and defensive frailties make an away victory highly unlikely.
Bookmaker odds for this match are not available in our data set. However, the statistical model clearly points to a home win. Villaviciosa de Odon Women are expected to control the game and secure three points, mirroring their performance in the earlier head-to-head meeting. A 1-0 or 2-0 scoreline seems the most probable outcome.