| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 58:35 | +23 | 70 | |
| 2 | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 55:28 | +27 | 68 | |
| 3 | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 54:44 | +10 | 58 | |
| 4 | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 46:33 | +13 | 53 | |
| 5 | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 36:29 | +7 | 52 | |
| 6 | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 45:29 | +16 | 51 | |
| 7 | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 57:42 | +15 | 51 | |
| 8 | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 37:32 | +5 | 51 | |
| 9 | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 48:42 | +6 | 48 | |
| 10 | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 41:35 | +6 | 48 | |
| 11 | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 35:41 | -6 | 46 | |
| 12 | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45:48 | -3 | 45 | |
| 13 | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 47:48 | -1 | 40 | |
| 14 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 27:41 | -14 | 38 | |
| 15 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 36:48 | -12 | 36 | |
| 16 | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 24:43 | -19 | 26 | |
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 28:57 | -29 | 25 | |
| 18 | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 25:69 | -44 | 19 |
The Tercera Federacion match between Villanovense and AD Llerenense on Apr 12, 2026, at 16:00 sees Villanovense as the clear favorite with a 60% win probability. Based on recent form and a dominant head-to-head record, the home side is expected to secure the victory.
Villanovense come into this fixture with mixed results in their last five outings: L, W, W, W, L. They suffered a 0-1 home loss to Jaraiz on May 10 but previously beat Jerez 2-0, CD Cabeza del Buey 3-2, and AD Llerenense 0-2 away. A 1-2 home defeat to CD Badajoz on Apr 5 is the other blemish. Overall, three wins in five shows decent momentum.
AD Llerenense have struggled recently, recording W, L, D, L, L in their last five. A 3-1 home win over CD Calamonte on May 9 was a bright spot, but heavy defeats to EF Puebla de la Calzada (1-4) and CD Cabeza del Buey (0-1), plus a 2-2 draw at Montehermoso, underline their inconsistency. The 0-2 home loss to Villanovense on Apr 12 further highlights the gap between the sides.
Villanovense have dominated this fixture historically. Excluding the most recent meeting, they have won three and drawn one of the last four encounters. The results:
AD Llerenense have never beaten Villanovense in these matches, and the home side has kept a clean sheet in all three victories. This psychological edge strongly favors Villanovense.
After analyzing all available data, the win probabilities are:
Villanovense’s superior head-to-head record (3 wins, 1 draw in the last four), home advantage, and better recent form (3 wins in 5 vs. 1 win in 5 for AD Llerenense) make them the clear favorite. AD Llerenense’s only win in their last five came at home, and they have struggled on the road. The draw probability reflects the occasional tight nature of these contests, but a home win is the most likely outcome.
Bookmakers’ odds are not currently available for this fixture. However, based on the stats, Villanovense are expected to win. The head-to-head dominance and form gap suggest a low-scoring home victory, possibly with a clean sheet. Our prediction: Villanovense to win.