Fredrikstad - Viking prediction 25 April 2026

Viking vs Fredrikstad prediction for the Eliteserien match on Apr 25, 2026. Based on the stats, Viking are the clear favorites with a 65% win probability, while Fredrikstad face an uphill battle to get anything from this game.

Team Form

Viking come into this match with a mixed recent record. Their last five results across all competitions read: two wins, two draws, and one defeat. The most recent outings were a 1-0 loss at Sarpsborg 08, a 1-1 friendly draw with Sonderjyske, a goalless draw at Lillestrom, a 2-1 win at Kristiansund, and a high-scoring 6-3 home victory over IK Start. The attacking output has been strong at home, where they netted 21 goals in just 5 league games.

Fredrikstad's form is also patchy, with one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five. They suffered a 2-0 home defeat to Lillestrom, a 3-1 friendly loss at Valerenga, then drew 0-0 with Elfsborg and 1-1 with Ham-Kam before beating IK Start 2-1 at home. Away from home, they have struggled to impose themselves, as reflected by their absence from the top eight away teams in the league.

Head-to-Head Record

Viking have dominated this fixture historically. In the last six meetings, Viking have won five times and drawn once – Fredrikstad are yet to record a victory. The most recent encounter ended in a 2-1 away win for Viking, further underlining the gap between the sides. With a 5-1-0 H2H advantage, Viking have a clear psychological edge going into this match.

League Table Positions

Viking sit 2nd in the Eliteserien standings with 27 points from 10 matches (9 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss). They have been formidable at home, winning all five of their games at their own stadium, scoring 21 and conceding only 6. Fredrikstad are 10th with 14 points from 12 games (4 wins, 2 draws, 6 losses). Their away form has been mediocre, failing to break into the top eight away sides, which suggests vulnerability on the road.

Win Probability: Viking or Fredrikstad?

We calculate the win probabilities based on team form, league positions, head-to-head record, and home/away factor. The numbers are:

• Viking win: 65%
• Draw: 20%
• Fredrikstad win: 15%

Viking's perfect home record, superior league standing, and historical dominance make them overwhelming favorites. Fredrikstad's away frailties and poor H2H record leave them with only a slim chance of causing an upset. The draw is a realistic possibility given Viking's two recent draws, but the most likely outcome is a home victory.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds are not currently available in our data for this fixture. However, bookmakers would likely price Viking as clear favorites, possibly around 1.50 or lower, with Fredrikstad as significant underdogs. Based on the stats, our prediction is a Viking win. The home side's attacking firepower and defensive solidity at home should be too much for a Fredrikstad team that has struggled on the road.