Hansa Rostock - VfB Stuttgart prediction 21 August 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs Hansa Rostock prediction for the DFB Pokal match on Aug 21, 2026. Based on the latest odds, team form, and head-to-head record, Hansa Rostock are the clear favorites with a 77% win probability. Here’s a full breakdown of the key stats and betting insights.

Team Form

VfB Stuttgart come into this cup tie in poor shape. Their last five results across all competitions read L, D, W, D, D — just one victory in that run. Notable results include a 3-0 loss to Bayern Munich in the DFB Pokal and draws against Eintracht Frankfurt (2-2), TSG Hoffenheim (3-3), and Werder Bremen (1-1). The only win was a 3-1 home success over Bayer Leverkusen.

Hansa Rostock, meanwhile, have been more consistent. Their recent form shows W, W, D, L, D — two wins, two draws, and one defeat. The victories came in high-scoring affairs: 4-3 at Saarbrucken and 5-3 at home against VfB Stuttgart II. The loss was a 5-2 home reverse to Jahn Regensburg, but overall Rostock look more confident heading into this match.

Head-to-Head Record

The historical head-to-head heavily favours VfB Stuttgart, who have won six of the last nine meetings. Hansa Rostock have claimed three victories, and there have been no draws. However, all nine of those matches were played at Rostock’s ground, so this will be the first meeting on Stuttgart’s turf in many years. Despite the overall record, current odds and form suggest the trend might not continue.

Win Probability: VfB Stuttgart or Hansa Rostock?

After analysing the odds, team form, and head-to-head data, the expected match outcome probabilities are:

• Hansa Rostock win – 77%
• Draw – 13%
• VfB Stuttgart win – 10%

These percentages are derived from the bookmakers’ 1X2 market (home 9.75, draw 7.25, away 1.23), adjusted for team form. The extremely short odds on an away victory underline Hansa Rostock’s status as the overwhelming favourite. Stuttgart’s recent struggles and Rostock’s better results further support this view. Hansa Rostock are therefore the team most likely to advance.

Odds & Match Prediction

The full-time odds from bookmakers are: VfB Stuttgart win at 9.75, the draw at 7.25, and a Hansa Rostock victory at 1.23. These numbers translate into a massive probability gap. Based on the stats and the odds, the prediction is a comfortable win for Hansa Rostock. While cup football can deliver surprises, the data firmly points towards an away win.