Eintracht Frankfurt - VfB Stuttgart prediction 16 May 2026

The Bundesliga match between VfB Stuttgart and Eintracht Frankfurt on May 16, 2026, kicks off at 13:30 UTC. VfB Stuttgart is the favorite with a 45% win probability according to our analysis. We break down the form, head-to-head record, and prediction.

Team Form

VfB Stuttgart's recent form has been steady, with one win, three draws, and one loss in their last five matches across all competitions (L, D, W, D, D). In the Bundesliga, they are unbeaten in their last four outings. Their results:

• May 23, 2026: Bayern Munich 3-0 VfB Stuttgart (DFB Pokal) — L
• May 16, 2026: Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 VfB Stuttgart (Bundesliga) — D
• May 09, 2026: VfB Stuttgart 3-1 Bayer Leverkusen (Bundesliga) — W
• May 02, 2026: Hoffenheim 3-3 VfB Stuttgart (Bundesliga) — D
• Apr 26, 2026: VfB Stuttgart 1-1 Werder Bremen (Bundesliga) — D

Eintracht Frankfurt have struggled, failing to win any of their last five matches (D, L, L, D, L). They suffered three defeats and managed only two draws:

• May 16, 2026: Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 VfB Stuttgart (Bundesliga) — D
• May 08, 2026: Borussia Dortmund 3-2 Eintracht Frankfurt (Bundesliga) — L
• May 02, 2026: Eintracht Frankfurt 1-2 Hamburger SV (Bundesliga) — L
• Apr 25, 2026: Augsburg 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt (Bundesliga) — D
• Apr 18, 2026: Eintracht Frankfurt 1-3 RB Leipzig (Bundesliga) — L

Stuttgart's solid home form and Frankfurt's poor run give the hosts a clear advantage.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall H2H record shows 4 home wins, 7 draws, and 10 away wins in 21 meetings. The last five encounters:

• May 16, 2026: Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 VfB Stuttgart (Bundesliga)
• Jan 13, 2026: VfB Stuttgart 3-2 Eintracht Frankfurt (Bundesliga)
• Mar 29, 2025: Eintracht Frankfurt 1-0 VfB Stuttgart (Bundesliga)
• Nov 10, 2024: VfB Stuttgart 2-3 Eintracht Frankfurt (Bundesliga)
• Nov 25, 2023: Eintracht Frankfurt 1-2 VfB Stuttgart (Bundesliga)

That's two wins apiece and one draw, with the away side often performing well. Stuttgart's last home win (3-2 in January 2026) adds to their confidence.

Win Probability: VfB Stuttgart or Eintracht Frankfurt?

We calculate the win probabilities as follows: VfB Stuttgart 45%, draw 30%, Eintracht Frankfurt 25%. This assessment is based on Stuttgart's superior current form (unbeaten in four Bundesliga games), home advantage, and their recent 3-2 home win over Frankfurt. However, Eintracht Frankfurt's strong historical away record in this fixture (10 away wins overall) and the prevalence of draws in Stuttgart's recent matches keep the draw and away win chances significant.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for the 1X2 market are not yet available. Based on the available stats, VfB Stuttgart is the most likely winner. Our prediction is a home victory for Stuttgart, but a draw cannot be ruled out given both teams' recent drawing tendencies.