Velez Sarsfield Reserves - CA Talleres de Cordoba Reserves prediction 22 July 2026

The Velez Sarsfield Reserves vs CA Talleres de Cordoba Reserves prediction for July 22, 2026, points to a home win in this Liga Profesional Reserves fixture. Based on league table dominance, head-to-head record, and recent form, Velez Sarsfield Reserves has a 55% chance of winning, while the draw sits at 25% and CA Talleres de Cordoba Reserves at 20%.

Team Form

Velez Sarsfield Reserves come into this match with strong momentum. Their last five results read D, D, W, W, W. The two recent draws were both at home: 0-0 against Racing Club Avellaneda Reserves and 1-1 against Newells Old Boys Reserves. Before that, they recorded three straight wins, including a 4-0 away victory at Rosario Central Reserves and a 2-0 home win over CA Tigre Reserves.

CA Talleres de Cordoba Reserves have been inconsistent. Their last five matches show L, W, D, W, L. They lost 2-3 at home to Racing Club Avellaneda Reserves, then won 2-1 away at CA Sarmiento de Junin Reserves. A 2-2 home draw with Argentinos Juniors Reserves was followed by a 2-0 away win at CA Aldosivi Reserve, but they then fell 1-2 at home to Gimnasia La Plata Reserves.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Velez Sarsfield Reserves. In three previous meetings, Velez Sarsfield Reserves have won twice and drawn once, with CA Talleres de Cordoba Reserves yet to win. The most recent clash on February 12, 2026, ended in a 2-2 draw at CA Talleres de Cordoba Reserves. Before that, Velez Sarsfield Reserves won 3-1 at home in October 2025 and 1-0 away in May 2025.

League Table Positions

Velez Sarsfield Reserves sit top of the overall Liga Profesional Reserves standings with 44 points from 18 matches (14 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses). They have scored 40 goals and conceded only 11. At home, they are even more dominant: 8 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss, with 25 goals scored and just 5 conceded.

CA Talleres de Cordoba Reserves are not in the top 12 of the overall table shown, but their away record ranks 3rd in the league: 5 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses, 12 goals for and 8 against. This suggests they are competitive on the road, but the gap in quality to the league leaders is significant.

Win Probability: Velez Sarsfield Reserves or CA Talleres de Cordoba Reserves?

After analyzing all available data, the win probabilities are:

• Velez Sarsfield Reserves win: 55%
• Draw: 25%
• CA Talleres de Cordoba Reserves win: 20%

These percentages are derived from bookmaker odds (inverse of the odds, normalized to remove the margin) and then adjusted for team form, head-to-head record, and home advantage. The odds imply a home win probability around 53%, but Velez Sarsfield Reserves’ near-perfect home record (8 wins from 9) and the H2H dominance push that figure slightly higher. The away side’s respectable away form keeps their chances at 20%, while the draw remains a realistic outcome given the last H2H result.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Velez Sarsfield Reserves as clear favorites. The available odds show a home win priced around 1.70–1.78, a draw at 2.20–3.60, and an away win at 4.10–5.00. For example, one bookmaker offers 1.78 for the home win, 3.56 for the draw, and 4.57 for the away win.

Based on the stats, the most likely match outcome is a Velez Sarsfield Reserves victory. The team’s defensive solidity (11 goals conceded in 18 games) and attacking output (40 goals) make them strong favorites. However, CA Talleres de Cordoba Reserves have shown they can score away from home, so a low-scoring home win or a draw cannot be ruled out.