Vasco da Gama RJ Women - Sao Paulo SP Women prediction 22 July 2026

Vasco da Gama RJ Women vs Sao Paulo SP Women prediction for the Copa do Brasil Women match on July 22, 2026, at 00:45 UTC. Based on the stats, Sao Paulo SP Women are the favorites with a 45% win probability, while Vasco da Gama RJ Women have a 22% chance, and the draw is at 33%.

Team Form

Vasco da Gama RJ Women are in excellent form, unbeaten in their last five matches with four wins and one draw. Their recent results include a 5-0 home victory over Doce Mel EC BA Women on May 23 and a 4-2 home win against Rio Negro RR Women on May 16 in the Campeonato Brasileiro A2. The only blemish was a 3-3 away draw at 3B Sport AM Women on May 20. At home, they have been particularly strong, winning all three of their last home games by a combined score of 10-2.

Sao Paulo SP Women have a mixed recent record, with three wins and two losses in their last five outings. They suffered a 1-0 away defeat to Palmeiras SP Women on July 18 in the Campeonato Paulista, but bounced back with a 2-1 home win over Taubate SP Women on July 12. In the Copa do Brasil, they cruised to a 3-0 away win at Mauaense SP Women on July 6. Their form has been inconsistent, with a surprising 0-1 home loss to Red Bull Bragantino SP Women on May 22.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met only once before, in the Copa do Brasil Women on August 6, 2025. Sao Paulo SP Women secured a convincing 3-1 away victory. This head-to-head edge gives the visitors a psychological advantage going into this fixture.

Win Probability: Vasco da Gama RJ Women or Sao Paulo SP Women?

Based on bookmaker odds, recent form, and head-to-head data, we calculate the following win probabilities:

• Vasco da Gama RJ Women: 22%
• Draw: 33%
• Sao Paulo SP Women: 45%

The odds implied a higher chance for Sao Paulo (around 47% after removing the margin), but Vasco's strong home form and unbeaten run slightly increase their likelihood. The draw probability remains significant given the competitive nature of cup matches. Overall, Sao Paulo SP Women are the more probable winners, but an upset is not out of the question.

Vasco da Gama RJ Women vs Sao Paulo SP Women Prediction & Odds

Bookmakers have priced Sao Paulo SP Women as clear favorites. One bookmaker offers odds of 5.50 for a home win, 2.50 for a draw, and 1.91 for an away win. Another lists even shorter odds on the away side at 1.43, with the draw at 4.25 and a home win at 5.70. These odds reflect the market's confidence in Sao Paulo's superiority.

Our prediction: while Vasco da Gama RJ Women's home form is impressive, Sao Paulo SP Women's quality and head-to-head record make them the likely winners. A draw is a plausible outcome, but the value might lie in backing the away team. For betting tips, this Vasco da Gama RJ Women vs Sao Paulo SP Women prediction leans towards an away win or the draw no bet option if available.