| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17:3 | +14 | 12 | |
| 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21:0 | +21 | 9 | |
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | +3 | 9 | |
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | +6 | 6 | |
| 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | +11 | 6 | |
| 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:4 | +4 | 6 | |
| 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | +4 | 6 | |
| 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | +5 | 6 | |
| 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | +1 | 6 | |
| 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 4 | |
| 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:11 | -5 | 4 | |
| 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 | |
| 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:10 | -5 | 4 | |
| 14 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:9 | -7 | 4 | |
| 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 3 | |
| 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 | |
| 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:10 | -7 | 3 | |
| 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 3 | |
| 19 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:11 | -6 | 1 | |
| 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:15 | -14 | 0 | |
| 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 0 | |
| 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:21 | -21 | 0 |
The Vasco da Gama RJ U20 vs Cruzeiro MG U20 prediction for July 14, 2026, in the Campeonato Brasileiro U20 points to a closely contested match. Based on our analysis, Vasco da Gama RJ U20 has a 40% chance of winning, while Cruzeiro MG U20 holds a 35% chance, with a draw at 25%. Bookmakers see the home side as the favorite, but the head-to-head record tells a different story.
Vasco da Gama RJ U20 come into this match with a solid recent run: three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five outings. They thrashed Portuguesa RJ U20 4-0 at home on July 11, beat the same opponent 2-0 away on July 4, and demolished Sao Cristovao RJ U20 7-1 on June 26. The only blemish was a 1-0 defeat away to Cruzeiro MG U20 on July 8, though they also drew 1-1 at Fortaleza CE U20 on July 1.
Cruzeiro MG U20 have been less consistent, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five. They edged Vasco 1-0 at home on July 8, beat Athletic Club MG U20 3-2 on June 27, and drew 2-2 with America MG U20 on June 23. However, they lost 3-1 at Bahia BA U20 on July 1 and fell 2-1 at home to Corinthians SP U20 on June 20.
The historical record heavily favors Cruzeiro MG U20. In eight previous meetings, Cruzeiro have won seven times, Vasco da Gama RJ U20 have won just once, and there have been no draws. The most recent clash was on July 8, 2026, when Cruzeiro won 1-0 at home. Earlier this year, on April 2, 2026, Cruzeiro also won 3-1 at home. Vasco’s only victory came back on August 28, 2021, a 4-0 home win. The last five encounters have seen four Cruzeiro wins and one Vasco win.
After removing the bookmaker margin from the average odds (home 1.75, draw 2.50, away 4.18), the raw implied probabilities were approximately 47% for a home win, 33% for a draw, and 20% for an away win. However, Cruzeiro’s overwhelming head-to-head dominance (7 wins in 8 matches) and their recent 1-0 away victory over Vasco force a significant adjustment. Vasco’s home advantage and slightly better recent form keep them as marginal favorites, but the gap is narrow. Our final win probability assessment: Vasco da Gama RJ U20 40%, draw 25%, Cruzeiro MG U20 35%.
Bookmakers offer odds around 1.72–1.79 for a Vasco da Gama RJ U20 win, 2.20–3.63 for the draw, and 4.00–4.45 for a Cruzeiro MG U20 victory. These odds reflect the market’s view of Vasco as the favorite, but the wide range on the draw and away win suggests uncertainty. Based on the stats, this is a tough match to call. Vasco have the home field, but Cruzeiro’s historical edge and recent head-to-head success make them a live underdog. Our prediction leans toward a home win, but with low confidence, and a draw or away win are very realistic outcomes.