Vanspor FK - Bodrumspor prediction 19 February 2026

The Vanspor FK vs Bodrumspor prediction for February 19, 2026, in the Turkish 1st League is a clear away favorite scenario. Based on league standings, recent form, and head-to-head records, Bodrumspor enters the match with a 50% win probability, while Vanspor FK has a 25% chance and the draw stands at 25%.

Team Form

Vanspor FK's last five matches show two wins and three losses (L, L, W, L, W). They suffered a 3-1 away defeat against Hatayspor on May 1 and a 3-1 home loss to Istanbulspor on April 25, but managed a 2-1 away win at Umraniyespor on April 19. At home, their form is concerning – a 1-0 loss to Manisa BBSK on April 12 highlights their struggles.

Bodrumspor's recent five games include two wins, one draw, and two losses (L, W, W, L, D). After a 1-0 away loss to Corum Belediyespor on May 15, they beat the same opponent 1-0 at home on May 11 and also defeated Pendikspor 2-0 on May 7. Their away draw against Amed Sportif Faaliyetler (1-1) on April 26 shows they can pick up points on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met five times overall, with two wins each and one draw. The most recent encounter before this match was on September 24, 2025, when Bodrumspor won 2-0 at home. Earlier meetings include a 0-0 draw in 2022 and a 1-0 Bodrumspor win in 2021. Vanspor FK's last win in the series came in 2019 with a 4-0 away victory.

League Table Positions

Bodrumspor sits 5th in the 1st League overall standings with 64 points from 38 games, scoring 71 goals and conceding 39. They are strong both at home (11 wins, 4 draws, 4 losses) and away (7 wins, 6 draws, 6 losses). Vanspor FK is not in the top 12 of the table, indicating a lower league position and a significant gap in quality compared to their opponents.

Win Probability: Vanspor FK or Bodrumspor?

After analyzing all available data, we calculate the probabilities as follows: Vanspor FK win – 25%, Draw – 25%, Bodrumspor win – 50%. Bodrumspor's higher league ranking, better overall and away form, and recent head-to-head advantage make them clear favorites. Vanspor FK's home disadvantage and poor form against top-half teams further tilt the scales toward an away victory. The draw remains a realistic outcome, especially considering Bodrumspor's occasional stalemates on the road.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds are not provided in the data, but based on the stats, Bodrumspor emerges as the favorite. The team's consistent away performances and Vanspor FK's weak home record point to an away win. The final prediction is a Bodrumspor victory, with a 1-0 or 2-0 scoreline being the most likely according to form.