Supra du Quebec - Vancouver FC prediction 17 July 2026

The Vancouver FC vs Supra du Quebec prediction points to a home advantage for Vancouver FC in this Canada Premier League clash on Jul 17, 2026. Based on form, standings, and odds, Vancouver FC has a 40% win probability, while Supra du Quebec sits at 25% and the draw at 35%.

Team Form

Vancouver FC enters the match with a recent record of W, L, W, W, L. Their last outing was a dominant 4-0 home win over Inter Toronto York 9 FC on Jul 04. Prior to that, they lost 3-2 away to Forge FC Hamilton but secured back-to-back home victories against Pacific FC (2-1) and Atletico Ottawa (2-1). The only other loss in this stretch was a 1-0 defeat at Halifax Wanderers. At home, Vancouver FC has won three of their last four, scoring nine goals in those wins.

Supra du Quebec's form reads L, D, L, D, W. They come off a 2-1 home loss to Forge FC Hamilton on Jul 05. Before that, they drew 0-0 away at Cavalry and suffered a heavy 5-3 defeat at Atletico Ottawa. Their sole win in the last five was a 3-1 home result against Inter Toronto York 9 FC. Away from home, Supra du Quebec has managed just one win in four league matches, with two draws and two losses, conceding nine goals.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met only once, on May 23, 2026, in the Premier League. That match ended in a 1-1 draw. With no historical edge for either side, current form and home advantage become key factors.

League Table Positions

In the overall standings, Vancouver FC sits 5th with 14 points from 12 matches (4W, 2D, 6L). Supra du Quebec is 7th with 11 points from 10 games (3W, 2D, 5L). The home table shows Vancouver FC in 4th place with 10 points from 7 home fixtures (3W, 1D, 3L), while Supra du Quebec ranks 7th in the away table with 4 points from 4 trips (1W, 1D, 2L). Vancouver FC’s home goal difference is +2; Supra’s away goal difference is -2.

Win Probability: Vancouver FC or Supra du Quebec?

After normalizing bookmaker odds and adjusting for team form, head-to-head, and home/away splits, the win probabilities are: Vancouver FC 40%, draw 35%, Supra du Quebec 25%. The initial implied probabilities from the odds (home 2.42, draw 2.18, away 3.05) gave the draw a slight edge, but Vancouver FC’s stronger recent home performances and Supra du Quebec’s away struggles shift the balance. Vancouver FC is the more likely winner, though a draw remains a realistic outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer a home win at around 2.42, a draw at 2.18, and an away win at 3.05. These odds reflect a tight contest, with the draw seen as the most probable result. However, our analysis of the stats suggests Vancouver FC holds the upper hand. The betting tips lean toward a home victory, but cautious punters may consider the draw given the only H2H result. The match prediction: Vancouver FC to win, with a possible 2-1 scoreline based on their recent home scoring form.