Valladolid - Leganes prediction 14 March 2026
Valladolid
Leganes
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Valladolid vs Leganes prediction for the Segunda match on March 14, 2026, at 17:30. Based on recent form and head-to-head record, Leganes is the favorite with a 40% win probability. Valladolid has a 30% chance, while the draw stands at 30%.
Team Form
Valladolid enters this match in poor shape, with four losses in their last five games (L, L, L, W, L). Their only win came at home against Real Zaragoza (2-0). Defeats against Almeria (0-1), Deportivo La Coruna (0-2), Racing Santander (1-4), and Las Palmas (1-2) highlight defensive struggles.
Leganes shows slightly better form: L, W, L, D, L across all competitions. In their last four Segunda outings, they beat CD Mirandes (1-0), lost to Cadiz (0-3), drew with Huesca (0-0), and lost to Racing Santander (1-2). The away side has managed just one win in that competitive spell.
Head-to-Head Record
Historically, Leganes dominates this fixture. In 19 previous meetings, Valladolid has 5 wins, Leganes 10, with 4 draws. The last four encounters (excluding this match) saw Leganes win twice (3-0 in Jan 2026, 3-0 in May 2025) and two draws (0-0 in Feb 2024, 1-1 in Nov 2023). Valladolid has not beaten Leganes in any of those recent clashes.
Win Probability: Valladolid or Leganes?
After analyzing form, head-to-head, and the home/away factor, we calculate the following win probabilities:
- Valladolid win: 30%
- Draw: 30%
- Leganes win: 40%
Leganes gets the edge thanks to a superior H2H record and marginally better recent results. Valladolid’s home advantage and both teams’ inconsistent form keep the match close, with a draw a very realistic outcome. Overall, Leganes is the more likely winner.
Valladolid vs Leganes Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers’ odds are not available for this fixture at the moment. Based on the stats, our prediction leans toward Leganes as the favorite, but the high draw probability suggests a tight contest. A low-scoring affair is possible given both sides’ recent struggles in front of goal. We recommend checking the latest odds closer to kickoff for any value in the draw or Leganes win markets.
Valladolid vs Leganes — FAQ
- Who will win Valladolid vs Leganes?
- Based on our analysis, Leganes has a 40% chance of winning, Valladolid has a 30% chance, and a draw has a 30% probability. Leganes is the favorite due to a stronger head-to-head record and slightly better recent form.
- What is the win probability for Leganes?
- Leganes has a 40% chance to win the match against Valladolid. This is based on their historical advantage in this fixture (10 wins in 19 meetings) and Valladolid’s poor run of four losses in five games.
- When is the Valladolid vs Leganes match?
- The match is on March 14, 2026, at 17:30 local time. It is a Segunda division fixture in Spain.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Odds for Valladolid vs Leganes are not currently available. We recommend checking back closer to kickoff for the latest 1X2 betting lines.
- What is the head-to-head record between Valladolid and Leganes?
- In 19 previous meetings, Valladolid has 5 wins, Leganes has 10 wins, and 4 draws. Leganes has won 2 and drawn 2 of the last 4 encounters, keeping Valladolid without a win in that span.