Valladolid - Albacete prediction 24 January 2026

Valladolid vs Albacete prediction for the Segunda clash on January 24, 2026, at 13:00. Based on recent form and head-to-head record, Albacete is the favorite with a 50% win probability. Valladolid has a 25% chance, while the draw is also at 25%.

Team Form

Valladolid come into this match in poor shape. Their last five results read L, L, L, W, L — just one win in that run, a 2-0 home victory over Real Zaragoza on May 9. Defeats to Almeria (1-0), Deportivo La Coruna (0-2), Racing Santander (4-1) and Las Palmas (2-1) highlight serious defensive issues, with nine goals conceded in those four losses.

Albacete, by contrast, are flying. Their last five matches show L, W, W, W, W. The only blip was a 1-0 defeat at AD Ceuta on May 30. Since then they have beaten Real Sociedad B (3-1), Cordoba CF (2-1), Cultural Leonesa (2-1) and FC Andorra (1-0). That’s four straight wins, with eight goals scored and just two conceded in those victories.

Head-to-Head Record

Overall, Valladolid have won 7 of the 14 previous meetings at home, with 1 draw and 6 away wins for Albacete. However, recent history strongly favours the visitors. In the last three encounters before this fixture, Albacete won 2-0 in September 2025, the teams drew 0-0 in February 2024, and Albacete won 2-0 in September 2023. Valladolid have not beaten Albacete in any of those three matches, failing to score in all of them.

Win Probability: Valladolid or Albacete?

We calculate the outcome probabilities as follows: Valladolid win 25%, draw 25%, Albacete win 50%. These percentages are derived from the teams’ current form, the head-to-head trend, and the home/away factor.

Albacete’s four wins in five games give them a clear edge, while Valladolid’s one win in five points to a lack of confidence. The H2H record shows Albacete unbeaten in the last three meetings with two clean-sheet wins. Although Valladolid enjoy home advantage, their recent home form (one win, two losses in the last three at home) does not inspire confidence. Therefore, Albacete are the more likely winners, with a 50% chance of taking all three points.

Match Prediction

No odds are available in the provided data, but based on the stats, Albacete are the clear favourites to win this Segunda contest. Valladolid’s defensive frailties and Albacete’s attacking momentum suggest an away victory is the most probable outcome. The draw cannot be ruled out, but the form gap makes an Albacete win the smartest prediction. Our final Valladolid vs Albacete prediction is an away win.