UP Langreo - Burgos Promesas prediction 14 February 2026
UP Langreo
Burgos Promesas
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Our UP Langreo vs Burgos Promesas prediction for the Segunda Federacion clash on February 14, 2026, at 17:00 gives the home side a clear edge. UP Langreo enters the match as the favorite with a 60% win probability, while Burgos Promesas faces an uphill battle at just 15%. The draw stands at 25%.
Team Form
UP Langreo's recent results show a mixed bag but a strong finish: L, D, L, W, W. They bounced back from a tough 3-0 loss at Real Valladolid B on April 19 with a dominant 4-1 home win over UD Samano and a 2-1 away victory at Real Avila. Their last outing was a narrow 3-2 defeat at Real Oviedo B on May 3, but overall the trend is positive at home.
Burgos Promesas' last five: L, W, D, W, L. They suffered a 2-0 loss at Real Valladolid B on May 3, following a 2-1 home win against Salamanca CF UDS. Earlier, they drew 0-0 at Atletico Astorga and beat Coruxo 1-0 at home. The 4-1 home loss to Deportivo La Coruna B on April 5 highlights defensive issues on the road.
Head-to-Head Record
The H2H record heavily favors UP Langreo: 5 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses. In their most recent meeting on February 14, 2026, UP Langreo won 2-1 at home. The only draw came on September 27, 2025, when Burgos Promesas held them 1-1 at home. Across all six encounters, UP Langreo has outscored Burgos Promesas and never lost.
Win Probability: UP Langreo or Burgos Promesas?
Based on the available data, we calculate the following win probabilities:
- UP Langreo win: 60%
- Draw: 25%
- Burgos Promesas win: 15%
These numbers reflect the home advantage, UP Langreo's dominant H2H record (5-1-0), and their stronger recent form with two wins in the last two home matches. Burgos Promesas' away form is inconsistent, and they have never beaten UP Langreo in six attempts. The draw probability is moderate given Burgos Promesas' ability to grind out results on occasion, but the clear favorite is the home side.
Odds & Match Prediction
Odds for this fixture are not available in the data, but bookmakers would likely price UP Langreo as strong favorites. Considering the H2H dominance and home form, our UP Langreo vs Burgos Promesas prediction is a home win. The most likely scoreline based on past meetings is a 2-1 or 2-0 victory for UP Langreo.
UP Langreo vs Burgos Promesas โ FAQ
- Who will win UP Langreo vs Burgos Promesas?
- UP Langreo has a 60% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Burgos Promesas has a 15% chance. The home side is the clear favorite based on a 5-1-0 head-to-head record and stronger recent form.
- What is the win probability for UP Langreo?
- UP Langreo's win probability is 60%. This is driven by their perfect home record against Burgos Promesas (3 wins in 3 home H2H matches) and a solid end to their recent campaign with two home wins in the last five.
- When is the UP Langreo vs Burgos Promesas match?
- The match is scheduled for February 14, 2026, at 17:00 local time. It is a Segunda Federacion fixture in Spain.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Specific odds are not provided in the data, but based on the stats, UP Langreo would be the clear favorite. The H2H dominance and home advantage suggest short odds for a home win.