The NPL NSW Women clash between UNSW University of New South Wales Women and Gladesville Ravens Women on Jul 19, 2026, at 05:10 UTC, is shaping up to be a tight contest. Based on head-to-head history and recent form, UNSW University of New South Wales Women enter the match as the favorite with a 45% win probability, while Gladesville Ravens Women have a 25% chance of an away victory, and the draw stands at 30%.
UNSW University of New South Wales Women have managed just one win in their last five outings (W1 D2 L2). They drew 0-0 with Sydney Olympic Women on Jul 11 and played out another goalless stalemate at Northern Tigers Women on Jul 4. A 1-0 loss at Bulls Academy Women on Jun 28 and a 2-1 defeat at Illawarra Stingrays U23 Women on Jun 21 were offset by a 3-1 victory at Illawarra Stingrays Women on the same day. The side has struggled for consistency, scoring only three goals across those five matches.
Gladesville Ravens Women also show a mixed bag of results (W1 D2 L2). A 1-0 loss at Manly United Women on Jul 12 and a 3-0 defeat at Illawarra Stingrays Women on Jun 28 exposed defensive frailties. However, a 6-0 home thrashing of Druitt Town Rangers Women on Jun 21 demonstrated their attacking potential. Draws against Western Sydney Wanderers 2 Women (0-0) and Sydney University Women (1-1) complete the picture. Both teams arrive with identical form records, making this fixture hard to call on recent performances alone.
History favors the home side. In four previous meetings, UNSW University of New South Wales Women have won twice, Gladesville Ravens Women once, with one draw. Crucially, UNSW have a perfect record at home in this fixture: a 1-0 win in April 2026 and a 3-1 victory in August 2025. The only Gladesville success came at their own ground (4-2 in March 2024), while the teams shared a 2-2 draw in May 2025. The head-to-head data suggests UNSW University of New South Wales Women are well-equipped to handle this opponent on their own turf.
UNSW University of New South Wales Women have a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Gladesville Ravens Women have a 25% probability. This calculation is based on the head-to-head record, home advantage, and the teams' recent form. UNSW's two home wins in this fixture and the fact that Gladesville have never won away against them tip the scales. However, both sides' inconsistent results and low-scoring trends keep the draw as a significant possibility. The most likely outcome is a narrow home win, but a stalemate cannot be ruled out.
Odds for this match are not currently available. Based on the stats, bookmakers would likely see UNSW University of New South Wales Women as the favorite, with a draw and an away win priced higher. The head-to-head dominance at home and the slight edge in recent goal output (three goals in the last five versus Gladesville's two, excluding the 6-0 outlier) support a home victory. Our prediction: UNSW University of New South Wales Women to win, but with a low-scoring affair likely. A 1-0 or 2-1 scoreline would align with the data.