Union Saint-Gilloise - Atletico Madrid prediction 4 November 2025

The Union Saint-Gilloise vs Atletico Madrid prediction looks at the UEFA Champions League clash on Nov 04, 2025. Atletico Madrid enters this fixture as the narrow favorite with a 40% win probability, while Union Saint-Gilloise holds a 30% chance and the draw is pegged at 30%.

Team Form

Union Saint-Gilloise Recent Form

Union Saint-Gilloise have posted three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five outings. Notable results include a 5–1 thrashing of Anderlecht and a 0–5 loss to Club Brugge, alongside a 0–0 draw at Gent. They also recorded friendly wins over FCSB (4–0) and Diegem Sport (7–0).

Atletico Madrid Recent Form

Atletico Madrid have lost three of their last five matches. They suffered a heavy 1–5 defeat at Villarreal, a 0–1 home loss to Celta Vigo, and a 0–1 away loss to Arsenal in the Champions League. Their victories came against Girona (1–0) and Osasuna (2–1).

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met once before, with Atletico Madrid winning 3–1 at home in a previous UEFA Champions League fixture. This gives Atletico a 1–0 edge in the head-to-head.

Win Probability: Union Saint-Gilloise or Atletico Madrid?

Our calculated win probabilities for this match are: Atletico Madrid 40%, Draw 30%, Union Saint-Gilloise 30%. The numbers reflect Atletico’s slightly superior pedigree and H2H success, but Union Saint-Gilloise’s home advantage and Atletico’s recent away struggles narrow the gap. The home side cannot be underestimated after impressive wins at their own ground.

Odds & Match Prediction

No betting odds are currently available for this fixture. Our prediction is that Atletico Madrid has a slight edge, but the match is likely to be close. A draw is a real possibility, and Union Saint-Gilloise could well take advantage of Atletico’s inconsistent form to secure at least a point.