Our Uniao Desportiva AL Women vs Perolas Negras Women prediction for the Campeonato Brasileiro A2 Women clash on May 10, 2026, at 18:00 points to a tight contest. Uniao Desportiva AL Women enter the match as slight favorites with a 35% win probability, while the draw is rated equally at 35% and Perolas Negras Women hold a 30% chance.
Uniao Desportiva AL Women have struggled in recent outings, losing four of their last five matches. Their only victory in that span came at home against JC Futebol Clube Itacoatiara Women (2-1) on May 16. Since then, they have suffered defeats to Itabirito MG Women (0-3), Paysandu Women (1-2), Ferroviaria SP Women (0-8) in the Copa do Brasil, and Acao Women (0-2).
Perolas Negras Women have been more resilient, drawing three of their last five games. They drew 2-2 at home to JC Futebol Clube Itacoatiara Women on May 30, 1-1 away at Rio Negro RR Women on May 22, and 1-1 at home to Uniao Desportiva AL Women on May 10. Their two defeats came against Minas Icesp DF Women (1-2) and Doce Mel EC BA Women (1-2).
These sides have met only once before, on May 10, 2026, when Perolas Negras Women hosted Uniao Desportiva AL Women. That match ended in a 1-1 draw, with both teams scoring. The head-to-head record stands at 0 wins for Uniao Desportiva AL Women, 1 draw, and 0 wins for Perolas Negras Women.
Based on the available data โ recent form, head-to-head record, and the home advantage โ we calculate the following outcome probabilities:
No bookmaker odds were available to anchor the calculation, so the estimate relies solely on team performances. Uniao Desportiva AL Womenโs home status and their solitary recent win give them a marginal edge, but Perolas Negras Womenโs habit of drawing matches (three in five) makes a stalemate equally likely. The home sideโs poor defensive record โ conceding 15 goals in their last four defeats โ is a concern, while the visitors have only scored more than once in one of their last five outings. Overall, the match is poised to be a low-scoring, closely fought affair with no clear favorite.
Bookmakersโ odds for this fixture are currently unavailable. Based on the stats, the most probable outcome is a draw, but Uniao Desportiva AL Women could capitalize on home soil to edge a narrow win. Our prediction: a 1-1 draw, mirroring the reverse fixture earlier in the season.