Garbarnia Krakow - Unia Tarnow prediction 11 October 2025

Our Unia Tarnow vs Garbarnia Krakow prediction for the IV Liga match on Oct 11, 2025, gives Unia Tarnow a 40% chance of winning. The home side enters this fixture with a slight edge, but Garbarnia Krakow's strong head-to-head record keeps the contest finely balanced.

Team Form

Unia Tarnow's last five results show inconsistency: a 0-5 friendly loss to Bruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza, a 3-0 win at Limanovia Limanowa, a 1-1 draw with Wieczysta II Krakow, a 2-1 defeat at GKS Glinik Gorlice, and a 0-0 draw against Okocimski KS Brzesko. That form line reads L, W, D, L, D. At home, they have managed only one win in their last five outings, with two draws and two losses.

Garbarnia Krakow's recent form is equally mixed: a 1-0 home loss to Bochenski KS, a 2-1 win at Hutnik Krakow II, a 2-2 draw with Beskid Andrychow, a 1-0 loss at Metal Tarnow, and a 1-0 loss at Watra Bialka Tatrzanska (L, W, D, L, L). On the road, they have won just once in their last five, with one draw and three defeats.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met five times in recent history, with Garbarnia Krakow holding a narrow 3-2 advantage in wins and no draws. The most recent clash, on Oct 11, 2025, saw Garbarnia Krakow triumph 3-1 at home. Earlier meetings include a 2-1 Unia Tarnow home win in November 2023, a 4-0 Garbarnia Krakow home victory in August 2023, and two matches in 2017: a 2-0 Garbarnia Krakow home win and a 1-0 Unia Tarnow home success. The overall record (home wins 2, away wins 3) suggests Garbarnia Krakow often performs well in this fixture.

Win Probability: Unia Tarnow or Garbarnia Krakow?

Based on the available data, we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:

• Unia Tarnow win: 40%
• Draw: 25%
• Garbarnia Krakow win: 35%

Unia Tarnow's home advantage and slightly less poor recent form give them a marginal edge. However, Garbarnia Krakow's superior head-to-head record and the fact that they have already beaten Unia Tarnow this season cannot be ignored. The draw probability reflects both teams' tendency to share points in recent outings. Overall, Unia Tarnow is the most likely winner, but the match is too close to call with high confidence.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for this fixture are not currently available. Our analysis, based on team form and head-to-head statistics, points to a narrow home victory. The final prediction is: Unia Tarnow to win, but a draw is a realistic alternative. Punters should consider the double chance market or a low-stake bet on the home side.