UMF Selfoss - Vikingur Olafsvik prediction 31 May 2026

UMF Selfoss vs Vikingur Olafsvik prediction for the 2nd Division match on May 31, 2026, at 14:00. UMF Selfoss is the clear favorite, with a 60% win probability based on recent form, head-to-head dominance, and home advantage, while Vikingur Olafsvik has only a 15% chance to win.

Team Form

UMF Selfoss last five matches: D 2–2 vs Hviti Riddarinn, W 3–2 vs KFG, D 2–2 vs Haukar Hafnarfjordur, L 1–4 vs Magni, W 3–1 vs Throttur Vogar. They have two wins, two draws, and one loss, showing reasonable consistency. At home overall this season, they have 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss from 6 games (14 goals scored, 11 conceded).

Vikingur Olafsvik last five matches: D 0–0 vs Kormakur/Hvot, L 0–3 vs KF Austfjardja Fjardabyggd Leiknir, W 1–0 vs KFG, L 0–1 vs Haukar Hafnarfjordur, W 3–1 vs Magni. Their away record is poor, with only 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses in 6 away games (4 goals scored, 13 conceded).

Head-to-Head Record

In the last eight meetings, UMF Selfoss has 5 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses against Vikingur Olafsvik. The previous four encounters:

• Aug 28, 2021: Vikingur Olafsvik 0–3 UMF Selfoss
• Jun 26, 2021: UMF Selfoss 5–3 Vikingur Olafsvik
• Aug 14, 2018: Vikingur Olafsvik 1–1 UMF Selfoss
• Aug 13, 2018: Vikingur Olafsvik 1–1 UMF Selfoss

UMF Selfoss has never lost to Vikingur Olafsvik in their recorded history, and the home side has scored 12 goals in the last three home matches against them.

League Table Positions

In the 2nd Division overall standings, UMF Selfoss sits 3rd with 20 points from 12 games (5W, 5D, 2L), while Vikingur Olafsvik is 7th with 15 points (4W, 3D, 5L). At home, UMF Selfoss is 5th with 11 points from 6 matches (3W, 2D, 1L). Away, Vikingur Olafsvik is 8th with only 4 points from 6 away games (1W, 1D, 4L). The 5-point gap and the stark away form difference underline the home side’s superiority.

Win Probability: UMF Selfoss or Vikingur Olafsvik?

Based on the available data (form, head-to-head, league standings, home/away records), we estimate the probabilities as follows:

• UMF Selfoss win: 60%
• Draw: 25%
• Vikingur Olafsvik win: 15%

UMF Selfoss is the clear favorite. Their strong home form (only one loss in six home games), the historical head-to-head dominance (5 wins, 0 losses), and Vikingur Olafsvik’s poor away record (1 win, 4 losses) all point to a home victory. The draw is a realistic second outcome, while an away win is highly unlikely.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ odds for this fixture are not available in the supplied data. However, based on the statistics, UMF Selfoss is the predicted winner. The team’s consistency at home, the psychological edge from the head-to-head record, and the visitors’ struggles on the road all support a home win. Our final prediction: UMF Selfoss to win.