| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 35:17 | +18 | 29 | |
| 2 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 36:23 | +13 | 21 | |
| 3 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22:19 | +3 | 20 | |
| 4 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 26:24 | +2 | 20 | |
| 5 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 30:23 | +7 | 18 | |
| 6 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18:23 | -5 | 18 | |
| 7 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 26:14 | +12 | 17 | |
| 8 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 29:24 | +5 | 14 | |
| 9 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 21:26 | -5 | 13 | |
| 10 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 17:23 | -6 | 13 | |
| 11 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 18:42 | -24 | 12 | |
| 12 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 18:38 | -20 | 11 |
Our UMF Selfoss vs Kormakur/Hvot prediction for this 2nd Division match on May 16, 2026, at 14:00 points to a home win. Based on the latest stats, head-to-head record, and league standings, UMF Selfoss has a 52% probability of winning, while the draw is at 28% and Kormakur/Hvot has a 20% chance.
UMF Selfoss comes into this match with a mixed run of results: W, D, L, W, D in their last five outings. Their most recent match was a 3-2 away win against KFG on Jul 03. At home, they have been relatively solid, with a 3-1 victory over Throttur Vogar and a 2-2 draw with Haukar Hafnarfjordur in their last two home fixtures.
Kormakur/Hvot's last five results read D, W, D, L, D. They are proving hard to beat, with four draws in that sequence. Their latest match ended 1-1 away at Fjolnir on Jul 04. On the road, they have drawn three of their last four away matches, showing resilience but a lack of cutting edge to secure wins.
The head-to-head record heavily favors UMF Selfoss. In their two previous meetings, UMF Selfoss has won both, with Kormakur/Hvot yet to register a victory. The most recent clash was earlier this season on May 16, where UMF Selfoss secured a 2-1 home win. The only other encounter was an 8-0 Cup win for UMF Selfoss back in 2017.
UMF Selfoss sits 3rd in the 2nd Division table with 19 points from 11 matches (5 wins, 4 draws, 2 losses). They have scored 24 goals and conceded 22. Kormakur/Hvot is 5th with 16 points from 11 games (4 wins, 4 draws, 3 losses), with a goal difference of 26 scored and 14 conceded. The home side holds a three-point advantage and a higher position, which supports their favorite status.
We calculate the win probabilities as follows: UMF Selfoss has a 52% chance to win, the draw is at 28%, and Kormakur/Hvot has a 20% chance. This assessment is based on the available data. UMF Selfoss's home advantage, superior head-to-head record (2 wins from 2), and higher league position (3rd vs 5th) are the key factors. Kormakur/Hvot's recent form shows they are difficult to beat, which increases the draw probability, but their inability to win away from home (only 1 away win in 7 league games) significantly lowers their chances of an outright victory.
No specific bookmaker odds were available in the data for this match. However, based on the stats, bookmakers would likely see UMF Selfoss as the favorite. Our UMF Selfoss vs Kormakur/Hvot prediction is a home win, but the visitors' solid defensive record on the road suggests a tight contest. The most likely match outcome is a narrow victory for UMF Selfoss.