UMF Selfoss - HK Kopavogur prediction 13 August 2025

UMF Selfoss vs HK Kopavogur prediction: this 1st Division match kicks off on August 13, 2025, at 18:00 UTC, with HK Kopavogur considered the favorite to win, holding a 45% probability according to our analysis. UMF Selfoss has a 30% chance of an upset, while the draw probability sits at 25%.

Team Form

Below is a look at the recent results for both sides.

UMF Selfoss Recent Form

• Jul 11, 2026: UMF Selfoss 2–2 Hviti Riddarinn (D)
• Jul 03, 2026: KFG 2–3 UMF Selfoss (W)
• Jun 26, 2026: UMF Selfoss 2–2 Haukar Hafnarfjordur (D)
• Jun 20, 2026: Magni 4–1 UMF Selfoss (L)
• Jun 15, 2026: UMF Selfoss 3–1 Throttur Vogar (W)

Selfoss, currently playing in the 2nd Division, have recorded two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last five outings. They scored 10 goals and conceded 11 in that spell, showing they can be competitive at home but remain vulnerable defensively.

HK Kopavogur Recent Form

• Jul 10, 2026: Aegir 3–4 HK Kopavogur (W)
• Jul 03, 2026: Grotta 2–1 HK Kopavogur (L)
• Jun 26, 2026: Fylkir 0–2 HK Kopavogur (W)
• Jun 21, 2026: HK Kopavogur 2–2 UMF Grindavik (D)
• Jun 12, 2026: Throttur Reykjavik 2–0 HK Kopavogur (L)

HK Kopavogur, in the 1st Division, have mixed form with two wins, one draw and two losses in their last five. They netted 9 goals and conceded the same number. Notably, their away performances have been inconsistent, which could give Selfoss hope.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met 15 times previously. UMF Selfoss have won just 3 of those meetings, HK Kopavogur have triumphed 12 times, and there have been no draws. The last encounter was on June 4, 2025, when HK Kopavogur ran out 4–1 winners at home, underlining their historical superiority in this fixture.

League Table Positions

HK Kopavogur currently sit 4th in the 1st Division with 22 points after 13 matches (7 wins, 1 draw, 5 defeats). Their away record is a concern: 2 wins and 5 losses in 7 road games, with 12 goals scored and 18 conceded. UMF Selfoss are not in the 1st Division table, as they now compete in the 2nd Division, but their home form across all competitions shows they can be difficult to beat on their own pitch.

Win Probability: UMF Selfoss or HK Kopavogur?

Based on all available data—the massive head-to-head advantage, the division gap, and each team's recent form—we assign the following outcome probabilities:

• HK Kopavogur win: 45%
• Draw: 25%
• UMF Selfoss win: 30%

HK Kopavogur are the favorites thanks to their higher league standing and historical dominance, but their poor away record and Selfoss's competitive home performances mean the home side cannot be completely ruled out.

UMF Selfoss vs HK Kopavogur Prediction & Betting Tips

No bookmaker odds are available for this fixture at present. Based on our probability model, HK Kopavogur are the more likely winners, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. If odds become available closer to kickoff, an away win would be the starting point for bettors, though a draw no bet on HK or a cautious double chance (HK or Draw) could offer better value given Selfoss's fighting chance at home.