Umea IK Women - Kristianstads DFF Women prediction 16 February 2026
Umea IK Women
Kristianstads DFF Women
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Our Umea IK Women vs Kristianstads DFF Women prediction for the Cup Women match on February 16, 2026, at 18:00 points to an away victory. Kristianstads DFF Women enters as the clear favorite with a 65% win probability, while Umea IK Women faces an uphill battle at 15% and the draw sits at 20%.
Team Form
Umea IK Women's recent form in Elitettan Women shows inconsistency: two wins followed by three straight losses. They beat Sandvikens IF Women 2-0 and Gamla Upsala Women 3-2, but fell to Orebro SK Women 1-0, Linkopings Women 2-1, and Trelleborgs Women 2-0. Kristianstads DFF Women, competing in the higher-tier Damallsvenskan, have one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five. A 3-2 home win over Uppsala Women was a bright spot, but heavy defeats to Malmo FF Women (6-0) and BK Hacken Women (3-0) highlight defensive vulnerabilities.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record heavily favors Kristianstads DFF Women. In six previous meetings, Umea IK Women have never won, with two draws and four Kristianstads victories. The most recent encounters include a 4-1 away win for Kristianstads in 2022 and multiple 2-0 or 4-0 wins when Umea hosted. This historical dominance reinforces the away team's favorite status.
League Table Positions
Exact league table positions are not available, but the division gap is telling. Kristianstads DFF Women play in Damallsvenskan, Sweden's top women's league, while Umea IK Women compete in Elitettan, the second tier. This difference in competition level gives Kristianstads a significant edge in quality and depth.
Win Probability: Umea IK Women or Kristianstads DFF Women?
Based on all available data, the win probabilities are: Umea IK Women 15%, draw 20%, Kristianstads DFF Women 65%. The calculation starts from the head-to-head trend (0 Umea wins, 2 draws, 4 Kristianstads wins), then adjusts for the league disparity and recent form. Umea's home advantage and Kristianstads' poor defensive record on the road keep the draw and a slim home win possible, but the away side remains the most likely winner.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers' odds for this Cup Women fixture are not currently available. However, based on the stats, Kristianstads DFF Women are the expected winners. Our prediction: Kristianstads DFF Women to win. The draw is a secondary consideration for betting tips, but the away victory offers the strongest value given the form and historical gap.
Umea IK Women vs Kristianstads DFF Women โ FAQ
- Who will win Umea IK Women vs Kristianstads DFF Women?
- Kristianstads DFF Women have a 65% chance of winning, while Umea IK Women have a 15% chance and the draw is at 20%. The away team is the clear favorite based on head-to-head dominance and a higher league level.
- What is the win probability for Kristianstads DFF Women?
- Kristianstads DFF Women have a 65% win probability. This reflects their four wins in six previous meetings, their Damallsvenskan status compared to Umea's Elitettan, and a slightly better recent form despite some heavy defeats.
- When is the Umea IK Women vs Kristianstads DFF Women match?
- The match is on February 16, 2026, at 18:00. It is a Cup Women fixture in Sweden.
- What are the odds for Umea IK Women vs Kristianstads DFF Women?
- Odds for this match are not available at the moment. Once bookmakers release prices, Kristianstads DFF Women are expected to be strong favorites given the statistical profile.