Lazio - Udinese prediction 27 April 2026

The Udinese vs Lazio prediction for the Serie A clash on April 27, 2026, at 18:45, sees Lazio as the favorite with a 45% win probability. Udinese enter with a 25% chance, while the draw sits at 30%. This match preview breaks down team form, head-to-head record, and the key factors behind the win probabilities.

Team Form

Udinese's last five results: L, L, W, W, D. The team has been inconsistent, but the back-to-back wins against Cagliari (2-0 away) and Torino (2-0 home) showed resilience before the most recent draw. The two preceding defeats (0-1 vs Cremonese, 0-1 vs Napoli) highlight defensive vulnerabilities.

Lazio's recent form reads W, L, L, L, W. The wins came over Pisa (2-1 home) and Cremonese (2-1 away), while heavy defeats against Inter Milan (0-3 home, 0-2 in the Cup) and AS Roma (0-2 away) exposed a fragile backline. With a mixed bag of results, Lazio will rely on their attacking quality to secure a result.

Head-to-Head Record

The historical head-to-head record between Udinese and Lazio strongly favors the visitors. Across 30 meetings, Lazio has won 15 away games, Udinese has claimed 4 home wins, and 11 matches ended in draws. That gives Lazio a 50% all-time win rate in this fixture, compared to Udinese's 13%. The last five encounters include a 3-3 draw, two 1-1 draws, and two Lazio wins (2-1, 1-2). This pattern underlines Lazio's consistent edge.

Win Probability: Udinese or Lazio?

Based on the available stats, the win probabilities for this match are: Udinese 25%, Draw 30%, Lazio 45%. These percentages are derived from the head-to-head data (Lazio's 50% historical win rate), adjusted for home advantage and the current form of both sides. While Udinese have picked up two recent wins, Lazio's overall record and attacking depth tip the scales in their favor. A draw remains a likely outcome, given 37% of meetings have ended level.

Odds & Match Prediction

Specific odds from bookmakers are not available in our data; however, based on form and the long-standing head-to-head advantage, Lazio would be expected to start as favorites. Our prediction leans towards a Lazio win, with a draw as the next most probable result. Udinese's home advantage may keep the scoreline close, but Lazio's quality in this fixture makes them the team most likely to take all three points.