UAI Urquiza - San Martin Burzaco prediction 20 June 2026

The UAI Urquiza vs San Martin Burzaco prediction for June 20, 2026, points to an away-side edge in this Primera B Metropolitana clash. Based on form, head-to-head record, and league table positions, San Martin Burzaco enters as the favorite with a 40% win probability, while the draw sits at 35% and a home win for UAI Urquiza at 25%.

Team Form

UAI Urquiza come into this match with a mixed recent record: one win, three draws, and one loss in their last five outings (W-D-D-D-L). Their most recent result was a heavy 4-0 away defeat to Club Atletico Social y Deportivo Camioneros on July 4, but prior to that they held Sportivo Italiano to a 0-0 home draw and beat CSD Liniers 2-1 at home.

San Martin Burzaco have drawn four and lost one of their last five (L-D-D-D-D). They are winless in that stretch, with the only defeat a 2-0 home loss to Villa Dalmine on June 12. Since then, they have recorded four consecutive draws, including a 0-0 stalemate away to Villa San Carlos and a 1-1 home draw with CSD Liniers.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met four times in recent Primera B Metropolitana seasons. San Martin Burzaco hold a slight advantage with two wins to UAI Urquiza's one, plus one draw. The most recent encounter, on June 20, 2026, ended in a 0-0 draw. Before that, San Martin Burzaco thrashed UAI Urquiza 5-0 in October 2025, while UAI Urquiza won 2-1 at home in May 2025. The first meeting in March 2024 went to San Martin Burzaco 1-0.

League Table Positions

San Martin Burzaco sit 10th in the overall Primera B Metropolitana standings with 29 points from 21 matches (7 wins, 8 draws, 6 losses). Their away form is particularly strong: ranked 7th in the away table with 5 wins, 3 draws, and only 2 defeats in 10 road games. UAI Urquiza do not appear in the top 12 of the overall table or the top 8 of the home standings, suggesting a lower league position and a weaker home record.

Win Probability: UAI Urquiza or San Martin Burzaco?

After analyzing all available data, we assign the following win probabilities: UAI Urquiza 25%, draw 35%, San Martin Burzaco 40%. The away side gets the nod based on their superior league position, a better head-to-head record (2 wins in 4 meetings), and a solid away form this season. UAI Urquiza's home advantage is offset by their lower table standing and a recent 4-0 loss. The high draw probability reflects both teams' tendency to share points—UAI Urquiza have drawn three of their last five, San Martin Burzaco four of their last five.

Odds & Match Prediction

No bookmaker odds are available for this fixture. Based on the stats, San Martin Burzaco are the more likely winners, but the draw cannot be ruled out. A low-scoring affair is probable given both teams' recent results. Our final UAI Urquiza vs San Martin Burzaco prediction: away win or draw, with San Martin Burzaco having a 40% chance to take all three points.