Dock Sud - UAI Urquiza prediction 14 July 2026

The UAI Urquiza vs Dock Sud prediction for July 14, 2026, in Argentina's Primera B Metropolitana points to a tight, low-scoring affair. Based on our win probability analysis, a draw is the most likely outcome at 44%, with UAI Urquiza at 38% and Dock Sud at 18%.

Team Form

UAI Urquiza's recent form has been characterized by a string of draws. In their last five matches, they have recorded four draws and one defeat (D, L, D, D, D). Notably, their last three home games all ended 0-0 against Deportivo Merlo, Sportivo Italiano, and San Martin Burzaco. They have struggled to find the net, failing to score in four of those five outings.

Dock Sud's form is slightly more varied but still underwhelming, especially on the road. Their last five results are L, W, D, L, D. Away from home, they lost 2-1 to Villa Dalmine, drew 0-0 with Arsenal de Sarandi, and lost 3-1 to Argentino Merlo in their last three away trips. They did manage a 3-1 home win over Excursionistas, but their away performances have been poor.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two sides shows a slight edge for Dock Sud. In eight meetings, UAI Urquiza has won once, Dock Sud three times, and four matches ended in draws. The most recent encounters have been particularly cagey: the last three matches (March 2026, September 2025, May 2025) all finished 0-0. This trend strongly suggests another low-scoring draw is on the cards.

League Table Positions

Neither UAI Urquiza nor Dock Sud feature in the top 12 of the Primera B Metropolitana overall standings, indicating both are in the lower half of the table. The available data does not provide exact positions, but it's clear that both teams are struggling to compete with the league's top sides. This context further supports the likelihood of a closely contested match with few goals.

Win Probability: UAI Urquiza or Dock Sud?

Our win probability calculation starts with the bookmakers' average odds (home 1.90, draw 2.12, away 4.54). After removing the margin, the implied probabilities are roughly 43% for a UAI Urquiza win, 39% for a draw, and 18% for a Dock Sud win. However, we adjust these figures based on recent form and head-to-head data.

UAI Urquiza's inability to win (four draws in five) and Dock Sud's poor away record (one point from three away games) increase the likelihood of a stalemate. The last three H2H matches all ended 0-0. Therefore, we raise the draw probability to 44%, lower the home win to 38%, and keep the away win at 18%. The conclusion: a draw is the most probable result, with UAI Urquiza slightly more likely to win than Dock Sud if a winner emerges.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see UAI Urquiza as the favorite, with average odds around 1.90 for a home victory. The draw is priced at approximately 2.12, and an away win for Dock Sud at 4.54. For example, one bookmaker offers 1.98 for UAI Urquiza, 3.08 for the draw, and 4.85 for Dock Sud. These odds reflect the home advantage and the historical head-to-head balance.

Our UAI Urquiza vs Dock Sud prediction is a draw. Based on the stats, a low-scoring draw (possibly 0-0 or 1-1) is the most likely outcome. Bettors looking for betting tips might consider the draw or under 2.5 goals, given both teams' recent struggles in front of goal.