Txantrea - Valle De Egues prediction 24 January 2026

Our Txantrea vs Valle De Egues prediction for the Tercera Federacion clash on January 24, 2026, at 16:00 leans slightly towards the home side, with Txantrea holding a 42% win probability. The fixture ended in a 2-2 draw when these teams met earlier this season, and both sides enter this match with mixed recent results.

Team Form

Txantrea come into the match with a record of two wins and three losses in their last five outings (W-L-W-L-L). Their most recent result was a solid 3-1 home victory against CD Cortes Navarre on May 09, but prior to that, defensive frailties saw them concede four goals in a loss to Bidezarra and three against Pamplona.

Valle De Egues have collected three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches (L-W-W-W-D). Their streak of positive results was halted by a 4-1 defeat at Subiza on Apr 26. Before that loss, they secured three straight victories, including an impressive 4-2 win at CD Beti Onak, showcasing their attacking potential on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

In 12 previous meetings, Txantrea hold the advantage with 7 wins compared to Valle De Egues' 3, while 2 matches ended level. The most recent encounter on January 24, 2026, finished in a 2-2 draw. Txantrea won the prior clash 3-2 at Valle De Egues in September 2025, indicating they have been competitive in this fixture recently. However, Valle De Egues won both meetings in 2023, including a 2-1 victory at this very venue.

League Table Positions

Neither Txantrea nor Valle De Egues appear in the provided Tercera Federacion standings, which feature teams such as Arosa leading the overall table with 70 points and Compostela in second with 68. The absence of both teams from the available league data suggests they may be competing in a different group within the same tier or the specific standings were not captured in the dataset.

Win Probability: Txantrea or Valle De Egues?

Based on the available data, we calculate the outcome probabilities as follows: Txantrea win has a 42% chance, the draw stands at 28%, and a Valle De Egues victory is assigned a 30% probability. While no live odds are provided to derive implied probabilities, our assessment weighs Txantrea's home advantage and superior historical H2H record (7 wins to 3) against Valle De Egues' better recent form, which includes three wins in their last five. The most recent encounter ending in a draw also supports a relatively balanced contest. The draw percentage is elevated due to the evenly matched nature of the last result and the inconsistency in Txantrea's recent performances. Conclusively, while Txantrea is the marginal favorite, this match presents a very open contest where Valle De Egues have a realistic chance of taking points.

Odds & Match Prediction

Specific bookmaker odds for this event are not included in the supplied JSON data. However, based purely on the statistical profile — including Txantrea's head-to-head edge at home and Valle De Egues' stronger short-term form — the match prediction points towards a closely fought contest. The most probable outcome based on the stats is a home win for Txantrea, but a draw represents a strong secondary consideration given the 2-2 stalemate in January. Valle De Egues cannot be discounted and will look to exploit any defensive lapses from the hosts.