Little Rock Rangers - Tulsa Roughnecks prediction 19 March 2026

The Open Cup fixture between Tulsa Roughnecks and Little Rock Rangers on Mar 19, 2026, is expected to be a one-sided affair. Our Tulsa Roughnecks vs Little Rock Rangers prediction gives the visitors a 60% chance of winning, with the home side at just 15% and the draw at 25%. Below we break down the key stats, form, and betting tips.

Team Form

Tulsa Roughnecks

Tulsa have managed only one win in their last five outings (W1 D1 L3). They suffered a 3-1 defeat at Birmingham Legion on Jul 12, followed by a goalless home draw with Sacramento Republic on Jul 5. Earlier, they lost 2-1 at home to Colorado Springs Switchbacks on Jun 21, beat Monterey Bay 2-0 at home on Jun 18, and were thrashed 5-1 at Charleston Battery on Jun 13. Defensive frailties have been evident, conceding 11 goals in these five matches.

Little Rock Rangers

Little Rock Rangers are flying high with four wins and one draw in their last five (W4 D1). They drew 2-2 at Hattiesburg FC on Jul 10, then beat Memphis 901 1-0 at home on Jul 9, Louisiana Krewe 2-0 at home on Jul 5, Mississippi Brilla 1-0 at home on Jun 21, and Jackson Boom 2-0 at home on Jun 7. The team has kept three clean sheets in their last four wins, showcasing a solid defense.

Head-to-Head Record

There has been only one previous meeting between these sides. In that encounter, the home team emerged victorious, with no draws or away wins recorded. While the sample size is small, it hints that home advantage could be a factor, but current form suggests Little Rock Rangers can overcome it.

Win Probability: Tulsa Roughnecks or Little Rock Rangers?

Tulsa Roughnecks will enjoy home advantage, but their recent home record (W1 D1 L1 in the last three) offers little comfort. Meanwhile, Little Rock Rangers have been dominant regardless of venue. Based on the latest form, head-to-head record, and the home/away dynamic, we assign the following win probabilities: Little Rock Rangers 60%, Draw 25%, Tulsa Roughnecks 15%. The visitors' unbeaten run and defensive solidity make them strong favorites, while Tulsa's leaky defense and poor results leave them with little chance of an upset.

Betting Tips

Although bookmakers' odds are not yet available, here are our recommended betting tips for the match:

• Little Rock Rangers to win – their form is far superior.
• Under 2.5 goals – three of Little Rock's last four wins were by a one-goal margin, and Tulsa have struggled to score consistently.
• Little Rock Rangers to keep a clean sheet – they have shut out opponents in three of their last four matches.

Odds & Match Prediction

No odds are currently listed for this Open Cup match. Once bookmakers release the 1X2 market, we will update this section. Our match prediction is a comfortable win for Little Rock Rangers, likely by a 1-0 or 2-0 scoreline, given their defensive record and Tulsa's attacking woes.