Ham-Kam - Tromso prediction 18 July 2026
Ham-Kam
TromsoHam-KamTromso
SandefjordHam-KamIFK GoteborgHam-KamFredrikstadHam-KamAalesundHam-KamHam-KamLillestromFredrikstadHam-KamHam-KamValerengaKristiansundHam-KamHam-KamIK StartHam-KamKFUM OsloMoldeHam-KamHam-KamBrannSarpsborg 08Ham-KamBodo/GlimtHam-KamHam-KamTromsoTromsoValerengaTromsoOrgryteKFUM OsloTromsoTromsoAalesundBodo/GlimtTromsoTromsoMoldeIK StartTromsoTromsoBrannTromsoSandefjordSarpsborg 08TromsoTromsoLillestromTromsoKristiansundTromsoRosenborgTromsoIK StartHam-KamTromsoTromsoHam-KamHam-KamTromsoTromsoHam-KamTromsoHam-KamTromsoHam-KamTromsoHam-KamHam-KamTromsoTromsoHam-KamHam-KamTromsoHam-KamTromsoTromsoHam-KamTromsoHam-KamHam-KamTromso| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tromso | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 26:15 | +11 | 31 |
| 2 |  Viking | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 31:12 | +19 | 30 |
| 3 |  Bodo/Glimt | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 31:11 | +20 | 29 |
| 4 |  Lillestrom | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 21:12 | +9 | 25 |
| 5 |  Molde | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 21:17 | +4 | 20 |
| 6 |  Brann | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 28:22 | +6 | 19 |
| 7 | Ham-Kam | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20:22 | -2 | 18 |
| 8 |  Sarpsborg 08 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:16 | -2 | 18 |
| 9 |  Valerenga | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 19:22 | -3 | 17 |
| 10 |  Rosenborg | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15:18 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 |  Sandefjord | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13:17 | -4 | 15 |
| 12 |  Fredrikstad | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15:23 | -8 | 14 |
| 13 |  KFUM Oslo | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13:21 | -8 | 12 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 18:28 | -10 | 12 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11:21 | -10 | 12 |
| 16 |  IK Start | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 14:33 | -19 | 7 |
Tromso vs Ham-Kam Prediction (Jul 18, 2026)
The Tromso vs Ham-Kam prediction for July 18, 2026, points to a home victory in this Eliteserien clash. Based on league standings, recent form, and head-to-head dominance, Tromso enters the match as the favorite with a 45% win probability, while Ham-Kam struggles away from home.
Team Form
Tromso's last five matches show a mixed but strong home trend: a 4-0 win over Valerenga, a 4-1 friendly victory against Orgryte, a 0-0 draw at KFUM Oslo, a 1-1 home draw with Aalesund, and a 0-5 loss at Bodo/Glimt. The two recent home wins underline their attacking power at Briskeby Arena.
Ham-Kam's form is unbeaten in five outings: a 2-2 draw at Sandefjord, a 2-1 friendly win at IFK Goteborg, a 1-1 friendly draw at Fredrikstad, a 2-2 draw at Aalesund, and a 2-0 home win over Lillestrom. However, three of those results were away draws, highlighting a tendency to share points on the road.
Head-to-Head Record
The overall H2H record heavily favors Tromso: 10 wins, 2 draws, and only 1 win for Ham-Kam. In the last five meetings across all competitions, Tromso won three (1-0, 3-1, 2-0), drew one (3-3), and lost one friendly (0-1). The most recent league encounter on Sep 21, 2025, ended 1-0 to Tromso.
League Table Positions
Tromso sits 1st in the Eliteserien with 28 points from 14 matches (8 wins, 4 draws, 2 losses). At home, they are also 1st with 20 points from 9 games (6 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss). Ham-Kam is 6th overall with 18 points from 11 games (5 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses). Their away form is a clear weakness: only 3 points from 5 away matches (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses), which significantly reduces their chances.
Win Probability: Tromso or Ham-Kam?
After normalizing bookmaker odds and adjusting for form, home advantage, and H2H, the win probabilities are: Tromso 45%, draw 30%, Ham-Kam 25%. The initial odds implied a draw as the most likely outcome, but Tromso's dominant home record (67% win rate) and Ham-Kam's inability to win away (0 wins in 5) shift the balance clearly toward the home side. Tromso is the more probable winner.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers offer average odds around 3.40 for a Tromso win, 2.15 for the draw, and 2.60 for a Ham-Kam away victory. These odds reflect a tight contest, with the draw priced as the single most likely result. However, our analysis, factoring in the 10-point gap in the table and Tromso's perfect recent home scoring form, leads to a prediction of a Tromso win. A draw remains a realistic outcome given Ham-Kam's resilience, but the value lies with the home side.
Tromso vs Ham-Kam — FAQ
- Who will win Tromso vs Ham-Kam?
- Tromso is the most likely winner with a 45% probability. The draw has a 30% chance, and Ham-Kam a 25% chance. Tromso's strong home form and head-to-head dominance give them the edge.
- What is the win probability for Tromso?
- Tromso has a 45% chance to win. This is based on their 1st-place league position, 6 home wins in 9 matches, and Ham-Kam's poor away record of zero wins in 5 attempts.
- When is the Tromso vs Ham-Kam match?
- The match takes place on July 18, 2026, at 12:00 UTC. It is an Eliteserien fixture and will be played at Briskeby Arena in Oslo.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Typical 1X2 odds are: Tromso win around 3.40, draw around 2.15, and Ham-Kam win around 2.60. These odds indicate a tight match with the draw as the bookmakers' favorite single outcome.
- What is the head-to-head record between Tromso and Ham-Kam?
- Tromso has won 10 of the 13 all-time meetings, with 2 draws and only 1 Ham-Kam victory. In the last five encounters, Tromso won three, drew one, and lost one friendly.